Hard decision OTR

Hi,

I second for the 4bet preflop.
As played I would have bet OTT. I think that your hand is strong enough for two streets of value. There might still be some flush-draws, gutshots and weaker aces calling. Some of these draws would probably be turned into bluffs OTR if busted. But I think its better to get the value right away and make him pay for realizing his equity. I don't think he would bluff with hands like KK-JJ and weaker Ax as they still offer very good SDV and seem much better suited for check/call or check/fold then for bluffing. Depending on how one might define his preflop range he might even run out of bluffs a bit.
For the river I think that it is rare for players on NL5 to choose such a huge bet size for bluffing. At higher stakes one might need this to balance out one's value range but at the micros I think it rarely happens from non-maniacish people and going by his stats villain doesn't seem to be the typical maniac. So it's a fold for me.

easy bet on the turn and easy fold on the river. if he's bluffing KQ with 2x pot overjam then good job to him

Okay. Thx guys so far.

Agree with you guys, pre 4bet but call is fine to. Turn bet fold ~40%, as playd river is easy fold.

I see him bluffing very often.

To be honest, i think it's 90% value

I have moved your hand to the hand discussion board, because it’s fits better there.

Cheers,
SDK1987

While i regularly support 4bets or pushes with QQ or AK preflop, here i prefer the call. Villain has 3bet 1.67% from 200 hands, that is a hint that he has only big pairs in his range. QQ+, AKs give that 1.6%. So you would be dog vs. this range.

MP vs BB squeeze, that´s not exactly the spot u wanna be 4b AKo imo. Even vs standard opp I would prefer just call and vs somebody who profiles as a passive 3bettor preflop I would happily flat it pre. OTT I´m checking. We are either way ahead (he´s got JJ-KK, AQ) or way behind (AA). We block flush draws as well. I don´t think going for 3 streets of value vs AQ is a good gameplan here. So this´d standard x OTT for me. As played I fold OTR, this looks to me like AA nearly always. I think we can fold AK and not feel bad about it. I´d call TT only, fold rest.