PokerStars, $0.98 + $0.12 - Hold'em No Limit - 250/500 (30 ante) - 9 players
UTG: 10,189 (20 bb)
UTG+1: 8,532 (17 bb)
MP: 16,806 (34 bb)
MP+1: 29,148 (58 bb)
LP: 9,302 (19 bb)
CO: 22,151 (44 bb) VPIP 27, PFR 12, fold to 3-bet 67, 99 hands
BU (Hero): 21,826 (44 bb)
SB: 10,775 (22 bb)
BB: 22,644 (45 bb)
Pre-Flop: (1,020) Hero is BTN with 7♠ 9♠
5 players fold, CO raises to 1,000, Hero 3-bets to 3,000, 2 players fold, CO calls 2,000
Flop: (7,020) 8♦ Q♥ 8♠ (2 players)
CO checks, Hero bets 2,250, CO calls 2,250
Turn: (11,520) 9♦ (2 players)
CO checks, Hero checks
River: (11,520) T♦ (2 players)
CO checks, Hero checks
Total pot: 11,520
Spoiler
Showdown:
BU (Hero) mucks 7♠ 9♠ (two pair, Nines and Eights)
(Equity - Pre-Flop: 40%, Flop: 9%, Turn: 5%, River: 0%)
CO shows Q♣ A♥ (two pair, Queens and Eights)
(Equity - Pre-Flop: 60%, Flop: 91%, Turn: 95%, River: 100%)
CO wins 11,520
Hi,
Preflop - would you bother 3-bet-bluffing in this spot in a $1 tournament? Would you do it against this particular player? They have a large gap between VPIP and PFR, so likely not the strongest player in the field, and seem to have raise/folds in their range (although 67% fold to 3-bet over 99 hands likely means they folded 2 times out of 3, not really statistically significant). Not sure
Post-flop - once they call the c-bet and I turn a pair, I don't think they're folding a Q or an 8, and I now beat low pocket pairs, so trying to get to showdown seems like the best approach. Reasonable? What do you guys think?
Thanks!
