My bankroll challenge: 2500 to 5000 before 2019, 10000 June 2019!

2 Apr to 11 Apr 2018
Hands played: 7,134
Won: -$892
EV adjusted: -$265
Current bankroll: ~$2,580

Hey, great blog and all the best on your journey to 10K
I'm far from this goals and more like as you were in 2013.

thanks Arnalsan, I hope I can get better by maintaining this blof, we'll see. I hope you will follow and succeed yourself.

good luck dude i will be staying tuned and following

12 Apr to 18 Apr 2018
Hands played: 2,009
Won: $127.54
EV adjusted: $88.33
Current bankroll: ~$2,730 : UP

I don't know if that's the blog or not but I might have stopped the hemorrhage :). I decided to play lower limits globally to regain trust in my game, not to shut down on playing up to NL50, but seat NL50 only if there was enough fish at the tables. I included NL10 as the lower limit I was planning to play and to make that approximately half of my tables.

Anyhow, let's meet promises and share a hand from this week. Please analyze the hand including:
Villain profile
Preflop play
Flop play
Turn play (no River)

iPoker, Hold'em No Limit - €0.25/€0.50 - 6 players
Replay this hand on Upswing Poker

UTG: €23.72 (47 bb) - Hands: 44 - VPIP 64 - PFR 25 -
MP: €70.84 (142 bb)
CO: €45.27 (91 bb)
BU: €65.04 (130 bb)
SB: €68.21 (136 bb)
BB (Hero): €50.75 (102 bb)

Pre-Flop: (€0.75) Hero is BB with 4♦ 4♥
UTG raises to €2, 3 players fold, SB calls €1.75, Hero calls €1.50

Flop: (€6) T♥ 4♠ 3♥ (3 players)
SB checks, Hero checks, UTG bets €3, SB folds, Hero calls €3

Turn: (€12) 7♠ (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG bets €18.72 (all-in), Hero calls €18.72

Hi buiscuil,

nice blog!

I like the call OTT. You have got ~40% pot odds and if we assume his value range to be AA,KK,TT,33,65s,43s you already beat 16 out of 23 combos with little chance for him to improve. If we only count half of AA and KK and exclude 43s it still is 9 out of 16, more then 40%. As he most likely will have some bluffs included your odds are even better then that. MDF is also around 40%. So it is a clear call for me.
I might have considered a check/raise OTF. If he opens as wide as the first 44 hands suggest, there might be a lot of equity for him on the board and TT is the only hand which beats you at the moment, while he also might call with 33 and some worse hands. So you would most likely still be ahead of more then half of his continuing range.
edit: Maybe my thoughts about the c/r are wrong. He seems to have a limping range, which makes it less likely for him to have a lot of suited connectors OTF. Also he probably is not likely to bluff/semi-bluff in a 3-way-pot on such a volatile board. You might still be ahead of his continuing range, but the call was probably better. On the other hand it's probably good to get money in the pot OTF, as some scare cards on future streets might stop his action/make it more difficult to play.
I am not so certain what I prefer. What were your thoughts on the flop?

Ben002: I remember the table being quite fishy on the Flop. I considered the donk but I didn't want any of the 2 players folding yet. So I checked, thinking I could raise if both players were willing to stay in the hand. Once SB folded, I considered UTG's range and thought he could have a lot of air and will fold to a raise on those and call me all in anytime with a big pair, so I decided to call with the idea to put him AI on the turn, which he did for me :).

End of week 3 to week 4
19 Apr to 30 Apr 2018
Hands played: 2,871
Won: $152.23
EV adjusted: $151.94
Current bankroll: ~$2,870 : UP

I had some stressing issues this week at work and at home so I am doubly glad this worked out.

I have this hand to share, one of the last one of the week, which is actually a good topic of conversation. I have 56s, I am drawing flush and double ended straight on the flop. Most people tell me I should go all in here most of the time right? Odds vs an overpair are above 50%, vs a set they are decent... The issue I face is that often, the only villains following me all in facing me with Axs of the same color, while other hands that I beat such as regular pairs or overpairs end up folding. Please comment on what is working best for you and on game strategy. Have a great day!

IPoker, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $57.22 (114.4 bb)
BB: $110.53 (221.1 bb)
UTG: $345.14 (690.3 bb) Villain is VPIP 46 / PFR 40 (145 hands only mostly HU), goodLAG REG
MP: $65.80 (131.6 bb)
CO: $50 (100 bb) Villain is VPIP 25 / PFR 18 (600 hands only), REG
Hero (BTN): $68.79 (137.6 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with 6♣: 7♣:
UTG raises to $1.50, MP folds, CO calls $1.50, Hero calls $1.50, 2 folds

Flop: ($5.25) 4♣: 4♠: 5♣: (3 players)
UTG bets $3.67, CO folds, Hero raises to $67, UTG raises to $343.50, Hero calls $0.29 and is all-in

Turn: ($139.83) 9♥: (2 players, 1 is all-in)
River: ($139.83) 8♥: (2 players, 1 is all-in)

Results: $139.83 pot ($3.00 rake)
Final Board: 4♣: 4♠: 5♣: 9♥: 8♥:
CO mucked and lost (-$1.50 net)

thanks Shape___ Do you have one too?

Hey! Nice blog so far, will follow it for sure
About the last hand you posted, shoving OTF depends on each player style at this board, and your only good vs overpairs, since a set already flopped the FH. But im glad the hand ended up in your favour :).
Also i dont really prefer playing small suited connectors multiway mostly cause they are bad at multi way. Most of the times, when you hit the flush/straight, its easy for others to fold their weaker holding, but you can often get stacked by stronger flushes. If i were you, i would either 3bet the 67 suited or just throw it in a muck. But thats just my opinnon, whats yours about low suited connectors?
Anyways best of luck at the tables, cant wait for your next post

Greatpk,
While I have often encountered those bad setups where I am overflushed All In OTF, that doesn't mean we shouldn't play those hands. And I have to disagree for the 3B of 67s. Not that there isn't some cases where it's good, but more generally I think odds are better with a call. I this case I would have been forced to squeeze and fold any raise vs UTG. A UTG call would not bode well for me either. Plus, when I go all in OTF, my hand is pretty clearly a flush draw but what will UTG do with his UTG pairs? Will he fold 66+? Fold 66-TT but call JJ-AA? I think he will call most of it, especially a good Reg, who will now I have a flush draw but will pray I do not have the straight draw. Plus, I think he very rarely has a 4 in his hand. He might have 55 from time to time which is OK.

Week 5
30 Apr to 07 May 2018
Hands played: 3,450
Won: $-160.60
EV adjusted: $-121.71
Current bankroll: ~$2,757 : DOWN

So that's a down... That was mostly 2 bad days and some weak winner days... Made a couple of mistakes in big pots and I paid that cash.

.

Week 6
8 May to 13 May 2018
Hands played: 3,006
Won: $495.11
EV adjusted: $452.26
Current bankroll: ~$3,120 : UP

Pretty good week for me. Here is a hand where CO just came back from a pause and posted a big blind to play. I feel like someone would want that so I start with a limp, which is atypical for me, in the hope to see a raise. Please comment on my play and equally interesting, on the villains' plays.

IPoker, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $52.31 (104.6 bb) 1.3k hands - VPIP 20 - PFR 1
BB: $18.50 (37 bb) 191 hands - VPIP 53 - PFR 36
UTG: $79.62 (159.2 bb)
Hero (MP): $65.73 (131.5 bb)
CO: $50 (100 bb) 684 hands - VPIP 50 - PFR 28
BTN: $49 (98 bb) 1.5k hands - VPIP 28 - PFR 13

Preflop: Hero is MP with A♦: K♣:
CO posts BB OOP, UTG folds, Hero calls $0.50, CO raises to $2.25, BTN calls $2.25, SB calls $2, BB calls $1.75, Hero raises to $65.73 and is all-in, CO calls $47.75 and is all-in, BTN calls $46.75 and is all-in, SB folds, BB calls $16.25 and is all-in

Flop: ($169.75) K♥: 7♣: A♥: (4 players, 4 are all-in)
Turn: ($169.75) 6♥: (4 players, 4 are all-in)
River: ($169.75) 4♦: (4 players, 4 are all-in)

Results:

Week 7
14 May to 22 May 2018
Hands played: 4,965
Won: $31.19
EV adjusted: $-64.81
Current bankroll: ~$3,170 : UP

I got a bit lucky this week, lets hope I keep this up but don't get overconfident.

Week 8
23 May to 30 May 2018
Hands played: 5,214
Won: $-554
EV adjusted: $-370
Current bankroll: ~$2,807 : DOWN

So... I basically took myself 3 weeks back sigh... Cards and luck were harsh, started tilting... I should come back to basics a little bit.

Hi buiscuil,
Nice blog and look forward to seeing you achieve your BR goal this year
Subbed
Regards

Matt

Thanks MetalMonkey, went to see yours, you have been around for a while!

Weeks 9 and 10
31 May to 13 June 2018
Hands played: 7,401
Won: $18.04
EV adjusted: $-180.16
Current bankroll: ~$2,860 : UP

Another lucky sets of weeks. Although according to my poker tracker, this is the one hand where I lucked out the most during these 2 weeks (-$89 in EV difference):

Please comment on what you would have done differently and I would be very interested to hear from someone who would lean towards a fold on the turn.

IPoker, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 4 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $86.51 (173 bb)
BB: $77.15 (154.3 bb)
CO: $67.18 (134.4 bb) Hands 235 / VPIP 34 / PFR 26
Hero (BTN): $58.34 (116.7 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with Q♠: Q♦:
CO raises to $1.25, Hero calls $1.25, SB calls $1, BB folds

Flop: ($4.25) 4♣: 7♣: 5♣: (3 players)
SB checks, CO bets $2.97, Hero calls $2.97, SB folds

Turn: ($10.19) Q♥: (2 players)
CO bets $8, Hero raises to $20, CO raises to $62.96 and is all-in, Hero calls $34.12

River: ($118.43) 4♦: (2 players, 1 is all-in)

Results:

FYI:
1) Preflop, I just call and do not 3Bet because the SB is a reg with a large 3Bet stat and I hope he would try to squeeze. The BB is a fish with >50 VPIP and I hope he will call.

2) On the turn my QQ has 23% equity vs this villain's hand. My required odds to call are 29%. Personally, I like my call because of his range of hands that I beat 44 55 77 KK AA Asxo AQo although some are more likely to just call vs a push. We should also add a few hands that have me beat 36s 68s xxs athough apart from Axs the rest might be rare.