Dear Readers,
I played this hand with JJ, which I called preflop in MP. UTG is a 16/14 NIT over 400 hands and does cbet 82% (82% of 11 cases), compared to his 15% EP RFI (19% overall RFI) this still seems pretty wide. When he check-calls
His range probably hardly connects with the Flop, so I decided to float the Turn small, which should be sufficient to get rid of most of his range. When he calls, this might be some lower pockets, some flushdraws, and of course he can do it with his fullhouses and quads as well. So there's no reason to bet river, right? I guess, since he's pretty nitty I could get him to fold some of his flushes and of course the weaker hands if I bet large, but since I have sd-value, why should I bet? Would you do it in this spot? Would you bet Turn large?
On a sidenote: sick, how slow even Flop stats evolve
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.05 BB (6 handed) - Converted at http://handhistoryconverter.com
UTG ($5.09)
Hero (MP) ($5.31)
CO ($5.54)
Button ($5.45)
SB ($5.50)
BB ($2.21)
Preflop: Hero is MP with J
, J
UTG raises to $0.15, Hero calls $0.15, 4 folds
Flop: ($0.37) 2
, 7
, 2
(2 players)
UTG bets $0.25, Hero calls $0.25
Turn: ($0.87) 7
(2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $0.30, UTG calls $0.30
River: ($1.47) K
(2 players)
UTG checks, Hero checks
Total pot: $1.47 | Rake: $0.06
Results:
Spoiler
UTG had A
, K
(two pair, Kings and sevens).
Hero didn't show J
, J
(nothing).
Outcome: UTG won $1.41