Hi guys,
I misplayed this hand today and there were a couple of points where I think I could have taken a different line. Please let me know what you think:
NL 50 6 handed:
Folds to Hero in the small blind with Kh8d
SB and BB both have 100BB effective.
Hero raises 4x as part of a wide sb/bb steal strategy.
Villain, in BB calls.
Pot $4
Flop Qc 8c 4d
Hero checks, Villain raises to $3, Hero c/r to $12, Villain calls.
Notes: CR is a line I had decided to take 15% of the time with this board, and the randomiser gave me a 16 (I cheated a bit, who doesn't like action!). Most of the time I would be check/calling this board. My c\r range here would likely be:
AA, QQ, 44, 88, a few Ax c (most would be in cbet range but some played as CR), some weaker flush draws with backdoor equity like Tc9c, some merged hands like Ac4h rarely (which K8 here is a part of).
I didn't think clearly enough about villains range (which is the problem with this hand). I put him on Qx (most likely), flush draws, and some slowplayed 88/44.
Turn is Ah
Pot $ 26
Turn Qc 8c 4d Ah
Hero barrels $16, Villain calls.
In retrospect, I do not like this street. Although you might think A would be a good card for the check raiser, it doesn't actually help my range at all (except the AA I play as a C/R rarely). Against a thinking villain, I don't think they fold QJ here because my bluffs haven't improved, and my value hands are still ahead. Thoughts on turn?
River is Ks
Pot 58
River Qc 8c 4d Ah Ks
Hero shoves remaining $21, Villain calls.
Villain shows AdQs taking the pot.
I think this shove was bad. I made two pair and shoved for value without thinking about his range. In retrospect the only hand I am getting called by that makes it to the river is Q8, maaaaaybe TT or JJ but I don't think that is too realistic. Villain only has sets, missed flush draws, and apparently AQ that didn't three bet. I think playing this is a check/decide (fold sometimes, call sometimes) is better. Thoughts on river?
I can see a number of points where a different line would have likely been better. Perhaps this is wp though? Any opinions welcome.