As a super tight player and watching the big rake/blinds, I am wondering how long I have to wait to shove as short stack.
How many hands to I have to wait to get a pocket Jack or better?
Thank you in advance.
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If you have a short stack of <15bb you can't wait for JJ+ in the first place. You can easy shove profitable with weaker hands. If you aren't familiar with shoving ranges in MTT's you can use this chart to improve your push and fold game.
Cheers,
SDK1987
Agree with SDK that only playing JJ+ probably isn't a very good strategy.
But to answer your question, the chances of getting dealt JJ or better are 1.81%.
Originally posted by legitxeris
As a super tight player and watching the big rake/blinds, I am wondering how long I have to wait to shove as short stack.How many hands to I have to wait to get a pocket Jack or better?
Thank you in advance.
Dang it! I was in a hurry this morning, and you had to go and post a "What are the odds..." question.
I'm a real sucker for these...
So...
There are exactly 1,326 different 2-card combinations in a 52 card deck, if order does not matter.
So J♦:J♠: is the same as J♠:J♦:
For each pocket pair, there are 6 different combinations.
So you can expect to be dealt pocket Jacks once in 1326/6 times or once out of 221 hands.
For Jacks or higher, there are 24 combinations, so once out of 56 hands.
Don't ignore AKo and AKs. If you include those, you can add 16 more combinations to make 40 total:
Now you have a premium once in 33 hands.
Desperate? Include AQ and you're looking at a premium-ish once every 24 hands.
When to shove what hands?
Depends on your position at the table, and how big your stack size is relative to the stack sizes of the people behind you, and how many people left in the tournament.
There are a couple of strategy articles on this in our library. The one the specifically covers this topic requires a silver rating.
If you are on or near the bubble, and are on the button, for example, you could shove KQ if the players in the blinds are tight, slightly shorter or very slightly deeper stacked than you.
If you're playing tournaments here are a couple of articles that lead you through the basics:
https://www.pokerstrategy.com/strategy/mtt/mtt-beginners-learning-path/
https://www.pokerstrategy.com/strategy/sit-and-go/sng-lesson-overview/
If you have not already signed up to 888 poker, I highly recommend it:
Sign up by following the instructions here:
https://www.pokerstrategy.com/888poker/welcome/
This gives you 100 points, which gives you silver status, which unlocks the article I referred to above.
888 has daily freerolls, which will give you free practice for you MTT skills, and help build a bankroll.
I'm doing that for the fun of it.
All the best,
VS;
Make it easy. Chance for the first card to be J-A is 16/52. And then pairing it is 3/51. That's 1,8%.
