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Monster hand

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zetozinho
Joined: 18.06.2017


Is shove OTR is ridiculous, but he could do it with a flush. I lose to AA, JJ, AJ, 99. But I beat any ace and any flush. I'm getting 1.6-1 odds with a full-house (39% equity). I think I'm good here more than 39% of the time.
How would you play this one? Can't let it go right?


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6 replies
Tomaloc
Joined: 17.01.2011

you shouldn't have the odds against most reasonable opponents. your only equity comes from the retard factor, and it's nl2, so it's a tough decision.


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MyFloXyBabY
Joined: 15.02.2010

Come on I call here everyday. You don't have that much stack left anyway compared to him.
I hope for him that he never have JJ here lol, don't be paranoid, so you lose against so few combos that if he has it it's a set up and that's all. At NL2 he could even have AK or whatever.
Your turn raise isn't big enough by the way.


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OrigamiPoker
Joined: 27.10.2018

I'm going to sit on the fence somewhat because in game I don't think I ever fold this even though it seems your very likely not good 40% of the time vs this line.Crazy things happen and youll catch a bluff or flush some percent of the time but I don't think more than 40%.It feels like JJ AJ with villains turn sizing if villain has a better hand on the turn the flush card is the gin card to keep betting big on for them.I would expect a hand like AK to take this line at such a low frequency it's almost negligible to our equity but I guess nothing is impossible.


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MyFloXyBabY
Joined: 15.02.2010

If you are that much afraid of a simple overbet you're gonna have a hard time at higher stakes lol.
Just to be clear, I'm usually not in the "I have a full, so by principle I can't fold" team. But here I don't see real reasons to fold. We are high enough in our range to flat a shove. If no what the heck do we call ?


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Moderator
SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

On NL2 I need very good reads to think of folding a full house.
He can easy overplay for example a flush here.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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OrigamiPoker
Joined: 27.10.2018

Originally posted by MyFloXyBabY
If you are that much afraid of a simple overbet you're gonna have a hard time at higher stakes.

Never really played above 25nl even though Ive playing online off and on for around 15 years the vast majority of it has been as a recreational player.I have alot of spare time now until after Christmas though so thought id give beating the micros a try upto 50nl. Starting from 5nl on 888 where I just made a new account through pokerstrategy. Ill likely look at a coaching session or two when I grind enough up from 10nl from one of the coaches as'well fingers crossed.Just to see what I actually do and don't know and hopefully fill in some blanks to help me cracking the micros.I haven't done any work on my game away from the tables in probably 10 years but did try and learn some of the fundaments when my brain was much younger and able retain information :f_biggrin:


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