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(FR) AQs - TPGK OOP in a not that great board

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pguest
Joined: 01.04.2009

Villain is unknown. Questions below.

$0.05 NL - Holdem - 7 players

MP+1: 100 BB (VPIP: 30.30, PFR: 12.12, 3Bet Preflop: 3.70, Hands: 66)
CO: 30 BB
BTN: 58.6 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 2)
BB: 122 BB (VPIP: 20.00, PFR: 13.33, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 16)
UTG: 30 BB (VPIP: 26.32, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 19)
Hero (UTG+1): 149.4 BB
MP: 123.8 BB (VPIP: 19.61, PFR: 11.76, 3Bet Preflop: 9.09, Hands: 51)

BB posts BB 1 BB, CO posts penalty blind 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2 BB) Hero has Q♣ A♣

UTG calls 1 BB, Hero raises to 5 BB, fold, fold, fold, BTN calls 5 BB, fold, fold

Flop: (13 BB, 2 players) 9♠ Q♠ J♣
Hero bets 8.4 BB, BTN calls 8.4 BB
Thoughts and questions:

Spoiler

Whenever I see a board like this, that connects to medium cards, I can only think about how that board hits villain range better than my own and ask myself if I should really bet 3 streets.

Turn: (29.8 BB, 2 players) 7♣
Hero bets 14.8 BB, BTN calls 14.8 BB
Thoughts and questions:

Spoiler

Cbet or check? Board for some 2 pair combinations for villain, str8 and str8 draws, sets...

River: (59.4 BB, 2 players) 4♦
Hero bets 9.4 BB, BTN calls 9.4 BB
Thoughts and questions:

Spoiler

River is mostly a blank but because I'm not sure if I check if villain would bluff me bigger or small, I decided to bet once more to try block him. Basically, bet/fold.

Spoiler

Hero wins 74.4 BB


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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

I think you played it well. I would most likely bet the river at least 1/3pot for thin value, but the rest seems standard against a unknown.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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zetozinho
Joined: 18.06.2017

The line is fine, not sure about the sizings here. I believe flop and turn could be something around 80%. How did you plan to play turn in case of a raise?
How did you plan to play the river in case you hit your flush and in case you miss and a spade, a K or a T gets there?
I still believe you have a lot of equity OTT. I did some calculations on Equilab and here's what I got:

Board: Qs9sJc7c
Equity Win Draw
MP2 72.91% 72.91% 0.00% { AcQc }
BU 27.09% 27.09% 0.00% { JJ-88, AJs-A2s, KJs-K9s, Q9s+, J9s+, T9s, 98s }

I assumed he could have some speculative hands here.
OTF your equity is about 60% with the same ranges.


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