i wanted to play 100 6 max hyper turbo sng's with a buy-in of 11$.
of course it was for grinding and for the fun of it. but i also wanted to know my ROI at a serious sample of BI's (i know 100 is still small but its something) and i liked to see which are realistic expectations of both varince and win/cashes. so i tracked several things.
here i'll share the results and the data:
(W=win[38,06$] S=second [25,36] L=loss [0])
1: W
2: W
3: L
4: L
5: S
6: L
7: S
8: L
9: S
10: L
11: S
12: L
13: L
14: L
15: L
16: L
17: L
18: L
19: W
20: W
21: S
22: W
23: L
24: L
25: W
26: W
27: L
28: L
29: W
30: W
31: L
32: S
33: W
34: L
35: L
36: L
37: W
38: W
39: L
40: S
41: L
42: L
43: L
44: L
45: W
46: L
47: L
48: L
49: S
50: L
51: L
52: L
53: W
54: W
55: L
56: L
57: W
58: L
59: L
60: L
61: L
62: L
63: W
64: L
65: L
66: L
67: L
68: W
69: L
70: W
71: W
72: L
73: L
74: L
75: L
76: L
77: L
78: W
79: L
80: L
81: S
82: L
83: W
84: W
85: W
86: W
87: L
88: W
89: S
90: L
91: L
92: L
93: W
94: L
95: L
96: L
97: L
98: L
99: L
100: W
here the profits and losses for each 5 sngs
1: + 46,48
2: -4,28
3: -29,64
4: +21,12
5: +46,48
6: +59,18
7: +8,42
8: +46,48
9: - 16,94
10: -29,64
11: +21,12
12: -16,94
13: -16,94
14: +21,12
15: -16.94
16: -16,94
17: +84,54
18: +46,48
19: -16,94
20: -16,94
here the profits and losses for each 10 sngs
1: +42,20
2: -8,52
3: +105,66
4: +54,90
5: -46,58
6: +4,18
7: +4,18
8: 33,88
9: +131,02
10: -33,88
here the profits and losses for each 25 sngs
1: +80,16
2: +67,50
3: -8,58
4: +80,20
here the profits and losses for each 50 sngs
1: +147,66
2: +71,62
and now the actual total of all the 100 sng's:
1: + 219,28
which means my ROI is close to 20%. just a few cents short of the 220
here the additional statistics:
longest win streak: 4
longest cash streak: 4
longest losing streak: 7
amount of wins: 28
amount of 2nd places: 10
amount of losses: 62
conclusion:
as expected, it seems there is quite a lot of variance in the hyper turbo SnG's. i had a loss streak of 7 BI's, twice of 6 BI's and a few more with 1 cash in between. i also got a lot of luck by winning 4 times in a row and another time 4 cashes in a row of which one 2nd place.
also a ROI of 20% seems like a good amount to me (if it's not feel free to mention)
another very interesting point imo is the win/cash ration and the cash/loss ratio. since the raw odds are equal to get 1st place or 2nd placeit seems like a massive difference to get 28 wins and 10 second places. i think it means that my HU play gets pretty good. however the flip side of this is that if i had the same amount of cashes but the wins were equal (19 wins and 19 losses) i would have meant my winrate would have dropped with 114,30$ making it an ROI of just about 9,5%. of course this is still profit, but it feels like it isn't as good as it could be, i assume it means my early stage strategy is in need of improvement.
maybe not related to the statistics, but i also felt like i made several unnessecary mistakes in the beginning of the challenge, however i quickly found and fixed them.
overall the challenge was fun to do and i think i have learned a thing or two from it
VS
