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JJ what to do on the river

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jxb1977
Joined: 13.08.2009

PokerStars Zoom, Hold'em No Limit - $0.02/$0.05 - 6 players

UTG (Hero): $8.95 (179 bb)
MP: $5.73 (115 bb)
CO: $4.71 (94 bb)
BU: $6.95 (139 bb)
SB: $5.31 (106 bb)
BB: $14.83 (297 bb)

Pre-Flop: ($0.07) Hero is UTG with J J
Hero raises to $0.15, 2 players fold, BTN 3-bets to $0.45, 2 players fold, Hero calls $0.30

Flop: ($0.97) 4 2 6 (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $0.50, Hero calls $0.50

Turn: ($1.97) 5 (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN checks

River: ($1.97) 9 (2 players)
Hero?

Think this is pretty standard to river (correct me if I'm wrong) but what is plan on the river? x/c or bet for value? By 3betting pre my villain has shown significant strength considering I opened in the LJ but does he play sets or QQ+ like this on the turn. I'm leaning towards a x/c being the correct play because it allows him to bluff with any missed draws or overcards and when I bet he can raise for value/bluff or just fold.


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zetozinho
Joined: 18.06.2017

I believe this spots are opponent dependent. If he is aggressive, check call is usually ok.
However, from my experience at the lowest stakes, players are passive and will check more often, even with missed draws that dont have showdown value (on this board mostly flushdraws).
Ax has showdown value.
I dont mind betting. I have seen AK calling small river bets in this spots for instance.
They also wont bluff raise enough when you bet, which advocates betting. If you get called by better it is part of the game.


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GridironAssassin
Joined: 19.12.2014

In my pool, hands like TT-77 are played as a call twice as often as a 3b preflop. That being said, they will be in his range often enough that I think we can block bet this river for like 30 to 35% pot and fold to a raise. Stack depth makes me think he will expand his 3b range, and the most logical expansion is to include TT here. He also has a bunch of missed AK, AQs here. These hands don't make a lot of sense to value bet against (are they ever calling?) but passive pools will also check them down sometimes since they do have showdown value. Folding out the cheese and not showing down (in a trackable environment) is a good thing.


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