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99 in a 3bet pot

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Torcato
Joined: 17.02.2010

I think this is a quite interesting hand. Even after the review and notes, I'm still not sure about my playing here.
Villain is a 17/16 in 270 hands, with RFI of 21% from CO and fold to PF 3bet of 89%. I use to 3bet these super tight players a lot more and I like to include middle pocket pairs on my 3bet range, which will play sort of fit or fold when called oop.

PokerStars - €0.10 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 123.5 BB
Hero (SB): 94.1 BB
BB: 142.8 BB
UTG: 105.1 BB
MP: 181.5 BB
CO: 149.8 BB

Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 9♣ 9♥

fold, fold, CO raises to 3 BB, fold, Hero raises to 10 BB, fold, CO calls 7 BB

Flop: (21 BB, 2 players) 2♦ J♥ 8♣
Hero checks, CO checks

Turn: (21 BB, 2 players) 8♥
Hero bets 10 BB, CO raises to 24.8 BB, Hero calls 14.8 BB

River: (70.6 BB, 2 players) 5♣
Hero checks, CO bets 115 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 59.3 BB and is all-in

So first, what do you think about pf strategy?
As played, I want to control the pot and checked the flop. Turn wasn't a bad card, I can't see many 8x on his range, maybe only pocket 8s, the :heart: opens some possibilities but I was quite comfortable in betting here to take the pot and protect my hand. Then it gets interesting with the raise, especially because it was such a small size. I tanked and I tought he probably wouldn't do that with made hands (like JJ) and not with flush draw as well. AJ and KJ are quite possible, if 8x it would be bigger size and again, I don't see a lot on his range, not even close. I called to reavaluate OTR.
The river was the perfect brick and I checked to see his xbh of Jx. He shoved and I almost instantly called because he will not do it with Jx (unless JJ), 8x was very unlikely as well and I beat everything else.. Except for QQ maybe possible too right?

Thoughts on it?
I'll reveal the showdown later, now it's open for guesses :f_drink:
Thank you guys.


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4 replies

It's one id let go and the pf strategy is good i think i'm trying to adjust my 3bet ranges from the sb as i usually flat a lot of these type hands.I guess i cant really argue with the call though villain can have flush draws.It's just these min raises tend to rep more strength than weakness.


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Tomaloc
Joined: 17.01.2011

he reps nuts or nothing, and the main reason to discount many 8x is his 8/9 fold to 3bet so far. blocking 89 is good, your draw blockers are bad.
the main problem here is finding a bluff range for villain, you do beat "everything else", but what and how much is "everything else" actually?

most likely hands are flopped sets (not discounting 22), 8x and low equity spaz bluffs (hard to find many natural bluffs). so, who the fuck knows, calling is fun if you won't tilt when he shows 55.


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Casey55
Joined: 19.07.2010

Interesting hand thanks for posting,On the flop with the ranges I give you guys you still hold range advantage, with an equity of 61% on the flop, I think it would be best to make a bet on the flop. When we check it kind of caps our range and makes us look weaker.I also don't think villain is checking top pair but he might if hes afraid of x/r .On the turn we raise and villain re-raises us ,you seem right about the flushdraw as he has one about 5% of the time. Flopzilla says he has a hand like top pair/3 of a kind/Full-house a total of about 30% of the time ( from range I gave before his Re-raise... which was :

TT-99, 77-33, JdJs, JdJc, JsJc, 8d8h, 8d8s, 8h8s, 2h2s, 2h2c, 2s2c, ATs-A9s, A7s-A3s, KQs, KTs-K9s, QTs-Q9s, T9s, 97s, 76s, 65s, 54s, 43s, AdJd, AsJs, AcJc, KdJd, KsJs, KcJc, QdJd, QsJs, QcJc, JdTd, JsTs, JcTc, Jd9d, Js9s, Jc9c, Ad8d, Ah8h, As8s, Td8d, Th8h, Ts8s, 9d8d, 9h8h, 9s8s, 8d7d, 8h7h, 8s7s, Ah2h, As2s, Ac2c, AQo, ATo-A9o, KQo, KTo, QTo, AdJs, AdJc, AhJd, AhJs, AhJc, AsJd, AsJc, AcJd, AcJs, KdJs, KdJc, KhJd, KhJs, KhJc, KsJd, KsJc, KcJd, KcJs, QdJs, QdJc, QhJd, QhJs, QhJc, QsJd, QsJc, QcJd, QcJs, JdTh, JdTs, JdTc, JsTd, JsTh, JsTc, JcTd, JcTh, JcTs.

I took out AA-QQ, AK,AQs, from his pre-flop range I expect him to 4-bet those a decent amount of the time.

Villain has pretty tight stats so I expect him to be inside his 30% of good hands when he raises you here. Folding turn probably best. I would've liked to lead the flop so our range isn't narrowed down by him.


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biel1996
Joined: 09.12.2015

Against someone who folds this much to pf 3-bet you can almost auto profit from exploiting this PF, I tend to do it with a more polarized range, though. 99 is on the very limit. Personally, I'd lean towards calling with 99 and raising with 45s-T9s, because they flop better than a medium pp, but with TT I'd probably raise, so its close.
As he calls, then, his range could easily be ahead of ours. So, I'd proceed with caution on the flop.
Flop check is nice.
OTT his raise could be a slowplayed JJ that wanted you to catch up, your small bet doesn't put much pressure on his range. I'd probably X/C, but B/C is fine.
River is a blank. Tough spot, in my opinion, you have a bluff catcher, calling or folding here depends a lot on reads on the villain. Against a good opponent, I'd lean towards folding.


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