Skip to forum
Notifications
Clear all

AJo - value bet river?

6 Posts
4 Users
0 Reactions
267 Views
monteCarlol
Joined: 24.08.2019

My plan was to check-back turn so that I might induce a bluff on the river. I planned to call a reasonable bet there.
Since villain checked, I value bet thin. What do you think? Is the size too small?

PokerStars - $0.02 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (CO): 125 BB
BTN: 103.5 BB
SB: 100 BB
BB: 44 BB
UTG: 100 BB
MP: 177 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A♥ J♣

fold, MP calls 1 BB, Hero raises to 4 BB, fold, SB calls 3.5 BB, fold, MP calls 3 BB

Flop: (13 BB, 3 players) Q♠ A♦ 5♣
SB checks, MP checks, Hero bets 5 BB, SB calls 5 BB, fold

Turn: (23 BB, 2 players) 9♥
SB checks, Hero checks

River: (23 BB, 2 players) 6♠
SB checks, Hero bets 5.5 BB, SB calls 5.5 BB


Reply
Quote
5 replies
pisiattu
Joined: 01.04.2010

You have 3 barrel of value here you can't check AJ for induce bluff, you can check A7 or less.

Ax, Kj, JT, 67s with a redraw call your second barrell

3/4 pot turn and river again 3/4 pot :)


Reply
Quote
monteCarlol
Joined: 24.08.2019

Originally posted by pisiattu
You have 3 barrel of value here you can't check AJ for induce bluff, you can check A7 or less.

Ax, Kj, JT, 67s with a redraw call your second barrell

3/4 pot turn and river again 3/4 pot :)

This is so contrary to how I played it, I might need to rethink my strategy 🀯
SB was an unknown player. Board is not that drawy, OTT other than JT. I thought if I bet turn there are these scenarios:
1. Villain has 2pair+ and calls and leads river, or raises in which cases I fold (x/r river even more sick)
2. Villain has weak SD value in which case they will probably fold to a 3/4 turn bet which is not profitable either
So I tried bluff induce because that's what I thought is most profitable.
However, my mistake is the assumption that villain folds to a large bet with a weak SD value hand, I guess. Probably the player pool tendency tends towards calling stations, right?

On more drawy boards I would bet larger on the flop and also bet turn.


Reply
Quote
marcvz
Joined: 03.04.2012

I think you got the strat backwards..
On a draws board, you can induce bluffs. But only if you're Oop.. then you can check call the river. (Don't do it on the turn because you don't wanna give away free cards on a drawy board)

But on this board, what holdings would villain bluff with?
Not much missed draws out there.
Just bet, bet, bet. And keep te bets small so you keep bad aces and middle pairs in there.


Reply
Quote
Dr1fter808
Joined: 11.10.2017

I think I bet small three times or I bet twice medium size.

It depends on the villain. If he is an unknown, I might just bet twice.


Reply
Quote
monteCarlol
Joined: 24.08.2019

Now I see it. Thanks. It is better to bet as long as villain doesn't wake up and starts raising. Otherwise, I miss too much value.


Reply
Quote