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Insane overbet on the river

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jesusflorestz
Joined: 30.03.2021

Villain is a reg who is playing 20% VPIP and I haven't seen anything weird from him.

His donk on the turn looks weird, like he feared me check/behind turn.

Then I get this massive overbet on the river and I feel a lot of fear out of the sudden.

When this happens is my gut telling me to FOLD and when I don't do it I get burned almost 100% of the time.

But logically the only hand that beat me was 63, because I don't see any 67 played this way on the flop.

I tie with a straight and I win against sets or 2 pair.

The thing is I don't see villain overbetting any 2 pairs or sets here because there was a possibility of straight.

But maybe can he do this with 22, 44 or 55? and not fearing the straight whatsoever?

Or is he doing this with 33 with the straight?

What do you think about the hand?


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6 replies
DecMate
Joined: 25.01.2009

i'd fold the river too. Calling a bet like this is extremely high variance, not good for the mental aspect if you lost the pot. You get raked a shit ton too if you call, and at best we're chopping.
Wouldn't give it too much thought, he could have some werid 67 or 36 so folding is fine imo.


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LeRoux90
Joined: 24.08.2015

The CS inside me wanna snap call river, the guy should not have any 76 or 63 there. At the end i think it's a split pot most of the time. But we're never safe in 5NL to see 76s or 63 or even any spew value cut... I think we should play safe and hero fold without info even it's annoying. And this guys 100% deserve a bad reg tag, whatever he have his line does not makes sense

Btw A3o is probably a fold pre from this pos, especially when you're saying there's regs at blinds


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Tomaloc
Joined: 17.01.2011

sick we do have 76 in our range, no need to call 5x pot.


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mkBISCUIT
Joined: 19.01.2018
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jiffybag
Joined: 21.12.2010

You 5 handed so I guess opening A3o is okay. The only way I see him showing up with something like 36 or 67 is if they had a back door flush to go with it, I see that alot nowadays. Also you bet the flop so small so hands like 54s or 33, 44 will come along at least one street. It looks like I am the only person that thinks you should have called the river. 22, 55, 44, 88 as well as 2 pairs that I think you are good. I raise that turn and stack off.
You said in one of your other threads your brother thinks you are just aggro and you say in this one you haven't seen this reg do anything weird, but how many times has he seen you do something weird:thinking: We've seen it a ton :coolface:
I don't think he has you on a straight, I think he thinks you have a A with a good kicker or 2 pair.
But sometimes I am shit wrong...


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jesusflorestz
Joined: 30.03.2021

Thank you all for the analysis. I guess this is a loose open from CO so I can fold this sometimes and bet stronger on the flop too. About the check/raise on turn, I usually use this line when I'm out of position and I want to take the initiative back. When I'm in position I usually just call, to let bluff stay in and check/raise river instead. But I don't know if this is the right play. Maybe in this turn I had to defend my hand against more nasty river and in this turn I can safely go all in if he reraises back, since 63 is the only hand that beats me. Jiffy as you said, maybe he was putting me on a A or 2 pair as you said, maybe he was expecting a check/raise on the turn.


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