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Fold on the River with 2 pairs

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Deine
Joined: 27.07.2019

Hello,

Table 6 max

Vilain (Small blind) is a regular player. sometimes looks like to try to steal the blinds.

Both players have 100bb

I am BB and SB openraise: 3b. i Call with J♠:8♣:

flop comes 7♣:8♥:J♥:

Villain Check and i bet 2/3 pot

Turn comes K♣:

VIllain check, i bet 2/3 pot, villain raise and i call

the pot now is 64 b

River comes 2♦:

Villain Bet 42 b and i fold

Did i a make a mistake on the river ?

(I used poker solver for this hand and it evaluated that fold as the worst move ( best was call, and second all in)


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6 replies
Ramble
Joined: 17.11.2008

I would have called, but I think it's close given the action. It's possible villain has a better 2 pair or a set, but I think it is likely he hit a draw or strong KK hand and his check-raise was for value/protection.


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DecMate
Joined: 25.01.2009

I think at best you can call and hope to see some busted draw, but players at this limit don't usually play so aggressively. You played the hand fine. You could even consider folding turn. I just can't see him raising worse here and at best we're flipping vs a draw.


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Casey55
Joined: 19.07.2010

I doubt villain check calls 2 streets with 22.
I also have a hard time believing he check calls flop and turn with T9. I guess sets could be in his range, maybe he was waiting to see how the board turned out. I think KJ would be raising the turn a good chunk of the time because of the board texture.

Villain can have a bunch of bluffs in his range, makes sense why he would bet river this way, QT could possibly call flop and turn, as-well as a hand like Q9 of clubs or hearts. Honestly I think the board is too wet for villain to slow play much OOP. I would call the river here it smells fishy especially with 2 broken flushes and QT missed.


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Moderator
SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

I would go broke on the turn with 2 possible flush draws out there for thin value and protection. If villain has better it's just unlucky I think.

Cheers
SDK1987


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Kapsawaka
Joined: 24.08.2011

I would definitely call.

It's a bit nasty, I don't think we win most of the time, but for the odds fairly sure will be ahead enough to lose less by calling than folding.


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mkBISCUIT
Joined: 19.01.2018

I believe on the turn I would 3bet all in. I villain has a high ATS from Sb he could very well be playing 40-45% starting hands so he could have a bunch of busted draws and lower 2 pair.. and if he has a str8 or set. ::deadhappy: just cry


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