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pretty sure I have to bluff here

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Dr1fter808
Joined: 11.10.2017

The villain is 22/17/af2.5/3B:8, River AF:4.0, 163 hands

In my normal poker PC, I think I have like thousands of hands on this reg but I reckon his stats are similar.

I'm pretty sure that he has AK/AQ/A9s-A6s/some random SC that missed.

PokerStars - $0.50 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 130.72 BB
SB: 153.02 BB
BB: 111.84 BB
UTG: 104.26 BB
Hero (MP): 120.3 BB
CO: 78.02 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has K♥ Q♥

fold, Hero raises to 2.5 BB, fold, fold, SB raises to 11 BB, fold, Hero calls 8.5 BB

Flop: (23 BB, 2 players) T♠ 5♠ J♠
SB bets 7.2 BB, Hero calls 7.2 BB

Turn: (37.4 BB, 2 players) 3♣
SB checks, Hero checks

River: (37.4 BB, 2 players) 2♥
SB checks, Hero bets 23.08 BB

Thoughts?


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6 replies
sandraardnas
Joined: 11.01.2012

You can rep some Jx and he can fold pockets and AQ/AK, so it should be fine. If you check river, then almost always lose. Id say after double check his range is weak enough for profitable bet.


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1d4BestByTest
Joined: 11.12.2010

Isn't the flop maybe a fold? You have horrible reversed implieds.


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Dr1fter808
Joined: 11.10.2017

Originally posted by liessens
Isn't the flop maybe a fold? You have horrible reversed implieds.

I was thinking may be I can bluff the extra spade because it's so easy to give up when it doesn't work.


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maliciouss2
Joined: 04.02.2022

I think you shoud have betted about half pot at the river. But as played is fine. You're trying to make fold A high and low/ underpairs


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

PF is probably fine - i think people at NL50 these days know how to play 3b or fold from SB and 3b a wide enough range of 5-6% so KQs is strong enough

F: Def call esp vs such a small bet

T/R: You have the option of betting Turn or betting River.
I typically default to betting Turn against 90% of players.

The main drawback of betting Turn is when you face a check/shove and are forced to fold a hand with high equity.

The main advantage of betting Turn is that you have the option of barreling through on some Rivers (i think you could try to rep spades on spade rivers since many people just double barrel AsK and KsA/QsA on the Turn)

The main advantage of checking Turn is that you give a tricky-on-turn but honest-on-river player the chance to show his true hand strength before you commit chips to a bluff.

The bad thing is that weaker players (esp fishes) love to take the bet-check-bet line as a bluff so I would typically deny them this opportunity by betting Turn myself (their thought process = this dude checked the Turn so he's weak so i bluff)

ABC regs on the other hand almost always take bet-check-bet lines for value with TPMK. From what I remember from analyizing population stats, they usually have bet-check-bet line frequencies of 20% which is typically super weighted towards value.


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Vampiir142
Joined: 01.10.2017

Preflop - OK, same playing.
Posflop - I would 1x call with OESD, but if he bet second berrel I would fold vs posibility flush or FD.

After his 2x check,he could have AK, AQ bluf bet looks good, but of course fold vs rerise.


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