Villain is 39/32, 3B:8, around 200 hands iirc
NL5 GGPoker
(typing this from memory)
BTN : ~100 BB
SB: ~110 BB
BB: ~95 BB
UTG: ~120 BB
MP: ~110 BB
Hero (CO): ~70 BB
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 6d7d
fold
MP raises 4BB
Hero calls 4BB
Button calls 4BB
fold
fold
Rationale for including suited connectors in a flat call range here was that MP has a tendency to overplay flop/turn with a really wide range: example would be MP 4bet shoving KK in a 3bet pot on a AhThQc flop in a previous hand. Furthermore, button player is very tight and his estimated 3bet range is TT+, AQo+ on the button. Thus, I'm happy to mix in some calls with speculative hands with the expectation that the button will not 3bet, and play a raise/fold strategy on the flop against MP with high IV.
Flop (13.5BB, 3 players) comes Jh7s6s
MP checks, Hero bets 8BB, Button calls
MP raises to 27BB, Hero calls, Button folds
At this point i have about 30BB behind, MP covers me.
Rationale for flat calling instead of shoving here is that I am putting MP on a range of AJo, QQ, KK, AA, AJs, QJo, QJs, KJo, KJs for value hands (since he re-reaises flop very wide) which I am beating, and AsKs, AsQs, AsTs, , KsQs, KsTs, QsTs, for bluffs which I want to keep in the hand for a possible turn shove. For hands which I am beat by, JJ is the most possible. 77, 66 I am blocking, but are also in his range. I don't think even a player this loose would raise J7s or J6s from MP, so I am discounting those hands.
Turn (about 90bb, 2 players) Jh7s6s3h
MP shoves 30bb, Hero calls 30bb
MP shows 77
As played, I think the flop bet into call is fine considering player profile.
Turn call is fine in my mind as well, as I am too pot committed to fold. However, should I have constructed a tighter range for MP in my mind? Button likely folded Ax 2 spades, so could I have discounted those cards from MP's range? Or is this just an unlucky hand? Not sure.
Thoughts would be appreciated.
