$2 Turbo 18Man - AKo on the River

I like flop small sizing. Turn card is not that great as 8x is very reasonable for BB range. So we should ask at this point what is our goal? Go for three street of value versus weaker Ax or check turn to either call or bet river.

Both options has merits. Player pool is probably reluctant to fold Ax versus triple barrel? With check we might also get some bluffs in case BB is defending wide and has some 54 type or decided to call small flop bet with some K high. Those are quite rare though. Also we might be sometimes looked down bit more often by some pocket pair if we take bet, check, bet line.

So if I bet turn my aim is to shove any river for value. When BB donk shoves river though... I think exploitative fold is potentially best. I couldn't make it most likely as people logic is weird and they might still have weaker Ax. But I expect BB has 8x vast majority of time. That said issue is you only need to be good like 30-35% of time even with ICM tax.

PS: Donk shove on river doesn't really make any sense from solid strategy view but imo this type of play is often very strong. It's likely because opponent is scared of hero checking back and wants to make sure it doesn't happen. Sometimes it's bluff with busted draw (unlikely on this board) or it's just some random A9 etc.

Against weaker players I wouldn't mind to Cbet around 700 with the intention to shove most turns for value in a multi way pot. Especially against unknowns in a micro SNG this isn't to bad I think.

Cheers,
SDK1987

thanks guys

PS: Donk shove on river doesn't really make any sense from solid strategy view but imo this type of play is often very strong. It's likely because opponent is scared of hero checking back and wants to make sure it doesn't happen.

I called him, he had 66 for a rivered full house, so your logic vs player pool seems very accurate

similar hand, but a lot different pot odds, almost 4:1, can we ever fold this?:

PokerStars - 40/80 Ante 10 NL (8 max) - Holdem - 7 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BB: 4,236
UTG: 4,732
UTG+1: 4,105
Hero (MP): 4,982
CO: 1,587
BTN: 5,130
SB: 5,310

7 players post ante of 10, SB posts SB 40, BB posts BB 80

Pre Flop: (pot: 190) Hero has A♥ A♣

UTG calls 80, UTG+1 calls 80, Hero raises to 400, fold, fold, fold, fold, UTG calls 320, UTG+1 calls 320

Flop: (1,390, 3 players) 9♥ 2♦ T♣
UTG checks, UTG+1 checks, Hero bets 626, fold, UTG+1 calls 626

Turn: (2,642, 2 players) 7♦
UTG+1 checks, Hero bets 1,189, UTG+1 calls 1,189

River: (5,020, 2 players) T♦
UTG+1 bets 1,880 and is all-in, Hero?

If you deal with weaker players you could also Cbet around 800 and shove the turn for value and protection.

Now you get decent odds to call the river, but not sure what kind of hands you beat. Villain can easily have a ten here.

Cheers,
SDK1987

bet more vs fish, got it, thanks