Disclaimer: all statements below are made with having in mind that this is a really small sample, so it is perfectly normal for stats to be skewed in some direction or other. Nevertheless I enjoyed doing the analysis and I'm sharing it with you in hopes it will be fun to read ♠_biggrin:
Hello everyone and thank you for all your support during my poker journey.
I'm sitting at a 1000 spin and gos behind my back which for me is a great milestone. Since I started I've been constantly trying to improve and I feel like I'm starting to see results. In terms of money I'm doing ok, but in terms of gameplay I feel really great.
I've been getting more and more comfortable with my HU game. VPIP has been increasing and I try not to overfold marginal hands postflop. I feel like I see positive results and can't wait to climb back to $1s to see how things go this time.
I've played exactly 666 $0.25 spins and 334 $1s. Average cev is 71 (93 for $0.25s and 29 for $1s). As a whole I've been running close to EV with relatively equal parts being above and below (have been running below for a while, so things should be even better theoretically)
Prizes are a bit skewed to the low side. 10x are half what they should be (and I haven't won any of them) and 4x are also a bit behind, so looking forward to winning even more money once things start being more even. Also there should be a 25x sprinkled somewhere in there really soon, so fingers crossed.
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Here's what my graph looks like:
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I've also played around with SwongSim yesterday(there's a video about it on PokerStrategy)x. I've ran 100000 simulations for 1000 tournaments and removed the top 3 prize multipliers, so I can have a more realistic data set. I've left the 25x bc realistically you can hit some for 1000 spins. Here's how my results compare to the output.
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As you can see, things are pretty much average. I haven't experienced any huge downswings in terms of chips and ROI is close to average albeit a little below expected. This is of course including my horrendous cEV on the $1s. We'll see how the next 1000 spins go.
For the moment I'll continue with grinding the $0.25s. I still haven't recovered from my downswing at the $1s and I'm yet to reach my $110 target. Thanks everyone from spending your time here and good luck to everybody ♠_drink: