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[Closed] NL100SH fold trips?

7 Posts
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nubbe2
Joined: 08.04.2009

Villain is tight passive fish .

Can i fold river?
Raise more turn?
Value bet less river?

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $1(BB) Replayer
SB ($8.17)
BB ($111)
UTG ($154)
UTG+1 ($102)
CO ($117)
Hero ($110)

Dealt to Hero T♣9♣

fold, UTG+1 raises to $3, fold, Hero calls $3, SB calls $2.50, fold,

FLOP ($10) 2♦9♥9♠

check, UTG+1 bets $4, Hero calls $4, SB folds,

TURN ($18) 2♦9♥9♠4♥

UTG+1 bets $4, Hero raises to $13, UTG+1 calls $9,

RIVER ($44) 2♦9♥9♠4♥7♣

check, Hero bets $36, UTG+1 raises to $82.60 (AI), Hero calls $46.60,


6 replies

I don´t think he is shoving there anything less than trips and likely he is going to get all-in anyway turn because of draws
So i think b/f river is fine


Strongsl
Joined: 19.01.2007

tight passivi fish?

did i see fish ?!?!?

do u think he folds any OVERPAIR there? I never folds this hand vs a fish for 100bb


osmium
Joined: 06.10.2007

I dont fold there. I might have raised the flop though. He wont fold an overpair most of the time. If you raise the turn, raise bigger so you can bet the river bigger. As played you obv call the river. If he really is very tight I dont see a 9 in his Range any way.


nubbe2
Joined: 08.04.2009

ok better describe him as Tigth pre flop , with poor and passive post flop skills.

ex. cold call Mp raise TT in BB mini c/r Overp pair Then bet 1/4 with over pair on turn and river.
Aswell cold calling ak sb vs someone who raise alot PF.

When he raise river i think he hit his miracle 44 or 77 maybe 22. Don't think he bluff to often since i bet big and he is to passive.


chenny8888
Joined: 03.10.2007

i thinkt he chance you're ahead on the river after his c/r is close to 0.... maybe one single combo of 98


Bierbaer
Joined: 27.05.2005

I'd raise a lot bigger on the turn, like 22.

So my river bet would be a lot bigger and i would call the push easily.

As played you almost get 4:1, so let's say it was only 3:1, you'd need to be ahead ~25% of the time.

This guy is tight preflop, if he has a 9 in his range it would be A9s, T9s or 98s.
Since there are three 9s out that makes up for a total of 3 combinations.
Even if he folds QQ-AA 90% of the time somewhere in the hand and just gets it in with it 10% of the time at the river this would be a +EV spot since there are a total of 18 combinations of QQ-AA, so 1.8 on average whereas you only need 1 (you'd need even less since i assumed it only were 3:1 odds).

-> Easy call river.