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To bluff or not to bluff?

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Timmaywin
Joined: 23.02.2010

Table €2 SNG 5 Seat No Limit Hold'Em
Seated players
UTG: (1455)
CO: HERO (1279)
BU: (1293)
SB: (1736)
BB: (1737)

Hole cards
Dealt to HERO J♣: 9♣:

Preflop
UTG folds, HERO raises 75 to 75, BU folds, SB folds, BB calls 45

Flop 2♦: 8♣: 6♦:
BB checks, HERO bets 82, BB calls 82

Turn 2♦: 8♣: 6♦: 6♣:
BB checks, HERO bets 246, BB calls 246

River 2♦: 8♣: 6♦: 6♣: A♠:
BB checks, HERO bets 410, BB calls 410

Spoiler

Showdown
BB shows T♠: Q♥:, A Pair of Sixes with a Queen kicker
HERO shows J♣: 9♣:, A Pair of Sixes with a Jack kicker
BB wins 1641


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5 replies
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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

It's interesting to know what you're own though process was and if you have any info on the villain of the hand.
Read less I would most likely Cbet turn around half pot or a little bit smaller as semi bluff. Ace on the river seems like a decent bluff card. I don't expect villain has to often a ace. Now you have 876 left and pot is 821. That's a little bit more than pot behind and than it's tough to make a good sizing without getting committed. If you Cbet turn around 160 it's easier to bet around 300 without getting committed if villain shoves.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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Timmaywin
Joined: 23.02.2010

Thanks for the reply and your thoughts on the betsizing SDK! :f_drink:

Villain is unknown, but he was limping a lot (so I put him on a wide calling range as well)

Thought process:
:club: Preflop: LP open with hand that can flop nicely and play nicely ip.
:diamond: Flop: missed the flop (no pair), but overcards and backdoor flushdraw, so cbetting as a semi-bluff.
:heart: Turn: the turn pairs, which makes it less probable that villain has a pair and on top of that, my hand just improved to a flushdraw, so cbetting again (a fold from villain would be nice)
:spade: River: The Ace on the river doesn't change much, since I don't put villain on an ace. Unfortunatly, the flush doesn't completefor me.
Main question is: Do I have fold-equity on the river? cbetting 3 streets must look pretty stong so I'm going for it.

Spoiler

(if I knew that villain was calling, even with Q high, I would have just checked behind (or raise all-in for max. fold equity)
and make a note that a Kx hand would still be a value bet...)


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Moderator
SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

Against this particler player I wouldn't bluff against, but that's also based with what kind of hand he/she called you this time.
Normally the ace is more in you're range than in villains range and I expect a decent amount of fold equity against a unknown.


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DanSRCR
Joined: 11.04.2010

If he has a wide calling range when the flop comes, he has the nuts hands advantage. Hands like T9, 57, 79, 88, 66, 22 and also suited hands, loose players also call with Ax. The blinds are small, so, is a good idea to keep the pot small too, check is better. When the turn comes I like betting 1.5 times the Pot, or something BIG, so he folds everything but the good hands. On the turn I give up, most players will bluff catch in the turn with Ax


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Trim112
Joined: 25.09.2017

Did you know if vilain got any read on you, sounds pretty wild to call with Q high. For me I would have shut down on the river.
I am Restarting poker after 1 years off so I can also be way off lol.


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