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PLO100 JT98ds 3bet pot, line on paired board deep stacked?

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ghaleon
Joined: 17.10.2007

Opponent seemed somewhat on tight side but not really reads.

So pre obviously 3betting. Flop is not that great ecpecially vs BU. Also with almost 200bb stacks I think theory wise our approach tend to flip around compared to 100bb. Though on big part that is because of aggression opponent can put on us and might not often happen in reality. Anyway my hand also doenst really make that good barrel candidate on pretty much any turn. Well maybe on A unblocking KK/QQ.

On turn my range doesnt love 4 that much and another fd opens so decreasing my fe for delayed cbet. So I decided to stay on my x-f plan.

On river bd flush comes in as well as 86. Though I would not value bet straight. Anyway we do block 86 which might often call especially vs block. I have essentially nut low hand on river so I thought why not try to steal the pot so went for cheap stab.

Game #2340033188: Table €100 PL - 0.50/1.00 - Pot Limit Omaha - 21:08:26 2025/12/25
Seated players
Seat 1: loizze (€42.50)
Seat 2: ty4content (€209.34)
Seat 3: MrBrown91 (€183.18)
Seat 5: ZebraTurbata (€236.35)
Seat 6: Relesa (€271.29)
Blinds and button
MrBrown91 has the button
ZebraTurbata posts small blind €0.50
Relesa posts big blind €1
Hole cards
Dealt to Relesa 8♦:9♥:T♦:J♥:
Preflop
loizze folds
ty4content folds
MrBrown91 raises €3.50 to €3.50
ZebraTurbata folds
Relesa raises €10 to €11
MrBrown91 calls €7.50
Flop 4♥:5♥:5♠: (22.5€)
Relesa checks
MrBrown91 checks
Turn 4♠: (22.5€)
Relesa checks
MrBrown91 checks
River 7♠: (22.5€)
Relesa bets €7.50


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Coach
Kyyberi
Joined: 09.07.2010

The only problem in that stab is that good opponent will realize that most of your range can't call a raise. But if here opponent is a bit tighter side and just folds his air, that is most likely +EV stab. Even if he is calling light, it will still be +EV as the required FE is so low. So the only question is, how often he will raise you with a bluff. If the answer is "not likely" then stab.


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