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[Closed] NL100 AA flat preflop get c/r on flop

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DeKuip
Joined: 07.03.2008

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $1(BB) Replayer
SB ($267)
BB ($112)
UTG ($107)
UTG+1 ($100)
CO ($107)
Hero ($126)

Dealt to Hero A♣ A♦

UTG raises to $4, fold, fold, Hero calls $4, SB calls $3.50, BB calls $3

FLOP ($16) 9♥ T♦ K♣

SB checks, BB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets $13, SB folds, BB raises to $33, UTG folds, Hero ???

BB: 29/21/2.3 (146 hands). 3bet 3.3%, c/r flop 20%

I flat preflop because the UTG raiser almost always folds to a 3bet. Then the guy in the SB is a calling station in single-raised pots, but when there is a 3bet he almost always folds.

So I thought that calling was smart here, but maybe I was wrong?

On the flop I must bet and get check/raised by BB, I was not sure what to do, but I think I'm almost always beat here and folding is the best option?!


3 replies
mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

I don't think he is that big of a calling station with 29/21 stats, probably a mediocre TAG type of player who likes to see the showdown.

I think folding flop is fine, QJ/KT/99/TT all got there, there is only one semi-bluff with 78 which isn't even that strong (idiot end of straight).

We are probably beat here.


DeKuip
Joined: 07.03.2008

SB is a calling station, not BB!


Bierbaer
Joined: 27.05.2005

Preflop is fine imo.

I think you can fold vs the checkraise on the flop.
If you think about what his goal is with the checkraise you'll find that he's probably raising to get value from at least top pair, so he obviously beats it.
Since KQ, AK and AA aren't that different in this spot (except for the additional gutshot KQ has) you basically have "top pair".

Another point to consider is his relative position.
He obviously wanted to check/raise the preflopraiser, so he hoped for a bet and 2 calls - which means he most likely has an absolute monster.
I think his range is exactly {TT, 99, QJ}. Maybe some combinations of KK, but he's likely 3betting these preflop.

Important notices to this hand:
i) The bet is still good because you want to get value.
ii) Again don't look at his c/r-flop%, it's not telling you anything!