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[Closed] Cont bet turn against fish?

7 Posts
6 Users
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Confeti
Joined: 02.04.2008

Cont bet turn again? or was C/F the best?

Villain: 56/8/0.6/40 - 39 hands

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
Limit Holdem $2(BB) Replayer
Hero ($194)
BB ($65.14)
UTG ($21.37)
UTG+1 ($62.41)
CO ($111)
BTN ($108)

Dealt to Hero 5♥ 4♥

UTG calls $2, fold, fold, fold, Hero calls $1, BB checks

FLOP ($6) 3♠ Q♠ 6♥

Hero bets $2, BB folds, UTG calls $2

TURN ($10) 3♠ Q♠ 6♥ 9♠

Hero bets $4, UTG calls $4

RIVER ($18) 3♠ Q♠ 6♥ 9♠ K♦

Hero checks, UTG checks

UTG shows T♠ A♦
(Pre 58%, Flop 50.6%, Turn 77.3%)

Hero shows 5♥ 4♥
(Pre 41%, Flop 49.4%, Turn 22.7%)

UTG wins $17.25


6 replies

I c/f turn.

What is he calling the flop with, that isn't a made hand on the turn?

you can't check/call cause there are so many outs against you.

so I check and I hope he does it too.


DukeFreedom
Joined: 07.04.2008

I think it's close between b/f or c/f - more reads would make it easier.

I mean, against tighter people I'd definately c/f turn, because you are way behind.

But this guy seems like a fish with his high preflop VPIP, but also not too showdown bound. You might wanna check his fold to flop cbet, fold to turn cbet, to see if he peels the flop too much, to then fold the turn. Ofcourse you lack the hands for reliable stats in this case, but I'd probably gamble for the b/f here for these reasons.


I'm not a fan of b/f here.

A guy with these stats is going to call the turn bet, not raise it. Then you have an ugly decision on the river OOP.

If he calls the flop here, he's gonna call the turn also.


I think c/f turn is my favorite. The 9♠ makes it more likely that he calls as it makes so many draws possible. Additionally he will often give you a free card.


With the 9 in a different color I like bet/probably call for outs a bit more but here I like check/fold the most as well. The 9 :spade: often gives him a flushdraw or maybe a bad gutshot with which he likes calling again.


opabumbi
Joined: 07.01.2007

if you bet the turn, you HAVE to bet the river here!
awesome card, you might even get pairs to fold and every flushdraw of course