/wanted to delete something
Notifications
Clear all
Originally posted by erob60
K...losing 9 coinflips in a row has probability of 1/512 . However, more than likely those weren't the first all-in coinflips made in the tournament. You only have to lose one to get knocked out, whereas after winning you can do the same again. If things aren't going marvelously you will be forced into a coinflip situation eventually. Point being, it is not so hard as 1/512 to get knocked out 9 times as one might think.
that kind of things happening with such odds sure isn't sign of something would be very wrong with the site.
people win in lottory every week with a lot worse odds (depending from country, here the odds are about 1/12million). if you have played, let's say 100 000 hands, there are surely some very unfortunate continuous losses there aswell.
yeah, odds must be correct. my pair always loses against 2 overcards and someone elses pair always wins my AK. So thats 50-50 right? 
Originally posted by sismis
yeah, odds must be correct. my pair always loses against 2 overcards and someone elses pair always wins my AK. So thats 50-50 right?exactly... thats how it works ♦
What's meant to be so unusual about that hand? Just JJ, QQ, KK and AKs being dealt?
As said before, losing 9 coin flips in a row has a probability of 1/512, making it "quite unlikely".
But take the matter the other way and you will see that unlikely is not impossible (or rigged).
Say you enter a MTT with 1 000 entrants and win it. Say you are an above average player and your skills make you twice as good as the average player (which is, IMO very very optimistic, considering that winning a tournament takes some luck when in coin flip situations with all your stack in, but let's stick to it).
The average player has 1/1000 probability to win the tournament, and your probabilities are 1/500. Then what ? Are you complaining about this "so-incredible" thing that happens when winning?
I also get mad sometimes with bad beats. But rememberr that in the long run, those 60/40 or 75/25 situations are the one which allow you to make money out of poker !
Well, to conclude, i'd tell you... good luck 
can someone who is good in math calculate probability of hitting full house with overpair on unpaired flop?
btw im calm now, ended a day with positive 0, but im just wondering why this things happen just when you want to move on higher limit :/
edit: ah, this isnt only hand else it wouldnt be problem, 5 minutes earlier the same guy cracked my aces with hitting straight on river after calling my potsized check/raise on turn 
anyway im cashing out most of my money on party for now coz i have psychological issues with it ♦
It's a good idea to make a brake if you don't feel confident anymore.
Btw the percentage are around 92-8 in your favor.
Well, that is almost once in 11 hands... Now you can go all-in next 10 hands without any concern sismis ♦
Ouch! But sometimes also live game seems to be broken: http://www.pokerstrategy.org.uk/wbb_en/thread.php?threadid=7668 ♦
Keep going! You will win in the long run. But I think you know that already, right? 
Good luck at the tables!
Puschkin81