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[Closed] NL200 T9s IP monster draw

4 Posts
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Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

Play hand

$1/$2 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)
Known players:
[tg]MP2$200.00:///////;MP3 (Hero)$261.70:///////;CO$100.20:///////;BU$92.60:///////;SB$49.30:///////;BB$200.00:///////;UTG1$92.00:///////;UTG2$208.25:///////;MP1$102.00:///////;[/tg]
Preflop: Hero is MP3 with 9:h, T:h.
4 folds, Hero raises to $6.00, 3 folds, BB calls $4.00.

Flop: ($13) 8:h, 2:h, 7:s (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $9.00, BB calls $9.00.

Turn: ($31) 5:c (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $24.00, BB calls $24.00.

River: ($79) 5:d (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $31.00, BB calls $31.00.

Final Pot: $141.

Results follow:

Hero shows a pair of fives(9h Th).

BB shows two pairs, nines and fives(9c 9d).

BB wins with two pairs, nines and fives(9c 9d).

He is 16/13/ WTSD 17. Winning player.

This is probably huge leak to bet small on river. I guess I should give up on river or ocassionaly shove / overbet as a big bluff.

I bet river just for the reason that he can be on draw himself. But my 31$ bet probably does not work out once in 2,5 cases (which is needed to make it neutral EV).


3 replies
VzLOM
Joined: 23.12.2007

till river its good.
On river i dont like betsizing.
I rather

a) check - give up cos all draws busted and he could be herocalling med pairs a lot. (We also cant rep much cos we rather ch-call w AA vs reg in this situation then bet 3rd barrel)
b)Bet bigger like 65$ to make fold all med pairs that is really a huge part of his range.
c) Bet less to make him fold hands like Ahxh, 67, 89


Bierbaer
Joined: 27.05.2005

Bet $11 flop for value and balancing with strong hands.

As played I'd bet $26 on the turn, once more for value.

On the river you already realized (and I also stated it in another hand) that betting so small is bad for a lot of reasons (see my post here, so I don't need to write everything again).

In this hand as you say you could argue for betting smaller because he could fold Khigh FDs, but imo he would rather bet them.
This looks like a medium strength hand to me a lot, 8x for the most part.
So you don't have to bet superbig, but imo $55-$62 is necessary to get him to fold.


Excellent. Thx