[Closed] NL200 AK OOP wet board

turbo fold

Originally posted by maya1984
turbo fold

Why? Do you think he only calls his FD here?

Originally posted by maya1984
turbo fold

+1
Because of that particular 14/9!!! villain.

He has there 22 or 99 to 90%.
And even if he plays A2s nutflushdraw like that you are just flipping.

Nh if you folded.

Agree with Anin. I'm not 100% familiar with FR stats and afaik 14/9 actually isn't that tight in a FR game, but I think in this case he might even show up with K9s.

I actually don't really expect him to semibluff with his FDs too much since your range for openraising and cbetting into 2 people is quite strong - he probably puts you on at least KQ+ and KK+ with the occasional cbet/fold from 88-QQ and some NFDs.

So if he knew we're even folding AK here it would be a nice move to bluffraise, but usually when I assume something like this and decide to get it in I have to realize once more that on the lowstakes no one thinks like that - and if they do realize it's a good spot to bluff they still don't do it because they're afraid of losing a pot.

And FD has probably smaller fold equity on Axx board so it may be better to play FD passively in his position here? That narrows his range pretty much so I have clear fold, right?

Thinking about it, if I were him and had FD, it is probably better to just call, right?

if i were him and i had the FD, i would raise for sure, because i'm so tight and everybody thinks i have 22 and 99 there

Originally posted by dhw86
if i were him and i had the FD, i would raise for sure, because i'm so tight and everybody thinks i have 22 and 99 there

Of course, me too.
But what should/could hero do oop?
Maybe ch/c flop, ch/c or ch/shove turn to non-diamond, ch/f river in any case?

Originally posted by Cornie4ever
And FD has probably smaller fold equity on Axx board so it may be better to play FD passively in his position here? That narrows his range pretty much so I have clear fold, right?

Thinking about it, if I were him and had FD, it is probably better to just call, right?

If we can get TPTK to fold we should definitely raise.

Originally posted by AninIII

Originally posted by dhw86
if i were him and i had the FD, i would raise for sure, because i'm so tight and everybody thinks i have 22 and 99 there

Of course, me too.
But what should/could hero do oop?
Maybe ch/c flop, ch/c or ch/shove turn to non-diamond, ch/f river in any case?

I think betting still is the best play. The whole point of the argument for folding to his raise is, that he does not bluff enough to make continuing with our hand worthwile.
Therefore we should still bet: sometimes he might raise a draw, but usually he has us crushed.
The times he calls we can be confident and continue to bet for value.

In case he starts raising a lot in this spot we can easily adapt by just not folding to his raise anymore.