Originally posted by MikeyH
Originally posted by Bliausmas
My point is that it doesn't matter which hand you'll get dealt 8 times in a row, trash or AA, but the fact that you were holding the two very same cards in your pocket for 8 hands - that's cool.
The novelty wears off eventually for most hands. It's always good to see unlikely streaks of monsters though. If you were raising pocket aces for the 8th time in a row a lot of people would tend to think that you were getting a bit out of line and give you some action.
However, being dealt strong hands in which you would raise several times in a row is a far different situation in which you get dealt weak hands and fold several times in a row. Folding 8 times in a row, for me, is not that uncommon. Such actions as a result of being dealt jack five offsuit 8 times in a row or any other trash 8 times in a row should not affect my opponents actions significantly. Therefore my general strategy or expected value should not change either. It is a different case for strong hands. My actions would change drastically from what my opponents would expect if I were to be dealt pocket aces 8 times in a row. I expect that they would tend to think that I am getting a bit over confident and trying to bully the table. This would be a far more likely scenario in their minds than a rare streak of pocket aces 8 times in a row. Their actions would likely change and they would make moves with more marginal hands expecting them to have a positive expected value against me. Therefore for such streaks of good cards we should expect that the action we recieve for the nth raise in a row will rise with some relation to n.
Based on such an idea it is more relevant to the game to get a streak of monsters than to get a streak of trash. We could expect a higher profit over a session in which we get a streak of monsters over several hands than we would get if we were to be dealt the exact same cards distributed more evenly in another session.
I have started a new thread if anyone wishes to discuss this specific example.
OK, I'm moving to new thread