This is the DIRECT FT Bubble.
Villain is new to my table, but I did play a bit with him a few tables ago. He was on the looser side. But just your random $2 donkament unknown. no special reads. his aggression was above average (definitely not a passive player).
My read on him being aggressive made me c/c the flop rather than b/f with my 2PTK and BDNFD. I think this is the best flop line because I think hes probably going to ship a lot of draws over my cbet and its going to be a really tough bet/call on the flop without some stronger reads.
Against the 40% turn bet I put him on quite a weak range. I have 2 options, I can c/c turn and c/c river, But i think hes going to check behind pretty much every river with his weak Tx/4x/5x/99/88 etc and I lose 1 street of value. Also If i hit my NFD its going to be VERY hard to get river value, I cant c/c c/c then lead river my hand is so face up, and hes checking behind so often.
I figure I would c/shove the turn to get him to fold his weak Kx and maybe even some weak 2 pairs. Although I might be losing value against his Qs,Js combos that would always vbet river when the spade hits.
I think I probably should have just c/c the turn and c/re-eval the river. Opinions?
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, 2.75 Tournament, 20000/40000 Blinds 4000 Ante (5 handed) - PokerStars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
Button (t1140374)
SB (t287322)
BB (t576664)
UTG (t3350270)
Hero (MP) (t2486780)
Hero's M: 31.08
Preflop: Hero is MP with 10
, A
1 fold, Hero bets t80000, Button calls t80000, 2 folds
Flop: (t240000) 10, 4
, K (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets t80000, Hero calls t80000
Turn: (t400000) 5 (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets t160000, Hero raises to t2322780 (All-In), Button calls t816374 (All-In)
River: (t2352748) J
(2 players, 2 all-in)
Total pot: t2352748
