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[Closed] NL5 - MSS, J2o freeplay

4 Posts
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moodkiller
Joined: 30.03.2010

Known players:
[tg]Position_Stack:hands/vp$ip/RaisePreflop/AF/WTS/ORL/BBvsSteal/W$SD;SB$12.5:53/11/4/2.5/0/14/100/-;Hero$2.07:///////;UTG2$11.27:25/32/0/2.3/13/0/100/0;[/tg]
0.02/0.05 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)
Hand recorder used for this poker hand: Elephant.Base 0.99 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

Preflop: Hero is BB with J♦, 2♣
UTG1 folds, UTG2 calls $0.05, 5 folds, SB calls $0.03, Hero checks.

Flop: ($0.15) J♣, T♦, 3♥ (3 players)
SB checks, Hero checks, UTG2 bets $0.1, SB calls $0.10, Hero raises to $0.32, UTG2 calls $0.22, SB folds.

Turn: ($0.89) 6♣ (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG2 bets $0.55, Hero calls $0.55.

River: ($1.99) 9♣ (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG2 checks.

Final Pot: $1.99

When he only calls my reraise i put him on over card or pocket pair lower than JJ. Did i played good considering my read?


3 replies
Gerv
Joined: 07.05.2008

Hello!

No I think you overplayed your TPNK here very badly. You should check/call as only KQ,89 and J3++ will call you. Against that you have:

Board: J♣T♦3♣
       Equity     Win     Tie
MP2    73.98%  65.66%   8.31% { KQs, J3s+, 98s, KJo, QJo, JTo }
MP3    26.02%  17.71%   8.31% { J2o }

So I would play check/call on both Flop & Turn. As played I would check/call the Turn but c/f the River

Best regards,
Gerv


Hi Gerv,

Had some thoughts about that hand in the Bulgarian community.

I don't think we can profitably c/c on two streets here against two players, because our hand is so weak.

I think we have either to c/f or to bet ourselves. By me the best play is to bet the flop and some turns (when the draws doesn't get there).

Also as played calling turn bet is kind of close I think, because he rarely has a worse hand (probably KQ/Q9 or FD) and we can not c/c the river.

I'm really looking forward for some deeper analysis and I'm apologizing for the inconvinience I make.

Best,
Plamen


Gerv
Joined: 07.05.2008

I don't think betting is good because we dont valuebet. That said we c/c to pick off bluffs.

You are right to c/f if they only valuebet against you but I am sure there is at least 1 street that villain will bluff.

It really depends how you perceive him + his aggression (AFq AF, bet when checked too, steal pot, WTSD , W$SD) are

There is no 1 good answer

Best regards,
Gerv