So the guy is playing 40/4 but 4.8 AF postflop
vGrabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.25(BB) Replayer
SB ($25)
BB ($25.50)
UTG ($17.20)
UTG+1 ($10.46)
CO ($27.09)
Hero ($45.52)
Dealt to Hero 2♠ K♠
UTG calls $0.25, fold, CO calls $0.25, Hero raises to $1.50, fold, fold, UTG calls $1.25, CO calls $1.25
FLOP ($4.85) 6♦ 3♥ K♣
UTG bets $4.85, CO folds, Hero calls $4.85
TURN ($14.55) 6♦ 3♥ K♣ 7♠
UTG bets $10.85 (AI), Hero calls ???
"ol/call JQo, call cbet on KQxtt, raise AI on K" the only read available - 50 hands
So because of his aggressiveness I ended up calling down but I am pretty confused about this hand.
What am I am supposed to get out of his donking pot on the flop? He can do this with a set or any other strong hand as he sees his hand and auto bets, he can do it with a medium strength hand -weak K- or he can do it as a bluff as the board is super super dry. IMO he can always do any of these things.
I am more inclined towards folding since I think I'm going to be faced very often with a shove on the turn and then I am going to be feeling like a mistake to fold. I mean if I call flop why would I fold turn?
I am beaten by 2/3 parts of his range (not as number of combos but as theoretical breakdown) so again more prone to a fold right now.