Villain stats; V:23 P:16 Wtsd:31 AF:3 3b:3.2 wwsf:59 CB:75 ats:36
cHand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:
$0.05/$0.1 No-Limit Hold'em (5 handed)
Known players:
[tg]CO$20.28:///////;BU$10.31:///////;SB$21.02:///////;BB (Hero)$10.00:///////;MP3$6.05:///////;[/tg]
Preflop: Hero is BB with 8:d, 9:d.
3 folds, SB raises to $0.30, Hero raises to $1.00, SB raises to $2.05, Hero calls $1.00.
Flop: ($4) 9:c, A:c, 7:d (2 players)
SB bets $2.20, Hero calls $2.20.
Turn: ($8.4) 5:d (2 players)
SB checks, Hero raises to $5.80, SB calls $5.80.
River: ($20) J:c (2 players)
Final Pot: $20.
I 3bet him PF sa a blind defense move, and when he 4 bets me even against aces I am right to call because I'm getting 3:1 on my money. The question is what play is more profitable to shove the turn or just check it. I think this player understands that i am 3 betting light in BB so his 4bet range is also wider, ATs+, AJo+, and TT+, maybe even KQs. Against that range i have around 40% equity. Does shoving generate enough fold equity to make this play +EV? Will he fold his pocket pairs lower than Aces in this spot?
Or either explain what you mean by 3:1 odds.