Originally posted by veriz
Hello Sinnology,
Well, if you go for 3bet then nope we ain't folding our hand. This should be also your plan if you go for a 3bet.
Or another option if you don't want to play for the stacks then just Call and play it postflop.
Best Regards.
+1
We have to think about our reason for 3-betting pre in this spot. If you're 3-betting for value (because you know he calls 3-bets light, or reshoves light) then its fine. Otherwise I wouldnt be 3-betting. I lean more towards not 3-betting with 'marginals' vs 4-bet shoves from unknowns. including JJ. I' rather 3-bet him with T8s from the button and not give myself the headache.
If you evaluated his range correctly, then you can never fold.
Board:
Equity Win Tie
UTG 50.18% 49.22% 0.96% { JdJc }
UTG+1 49.82% 48.85% 0.96% { 99+, AQs+, AQo+ }
I'm less inclined to think that you've evaluated his range correctly though I seem to evaluate ranges for unknowns a lot more conservatively than you unless they give me a specific reason not to. I'd put his range more like:
Board:
Equity Win Tie
UTG 36.19% 35.98% 0.21% { JdJc }
UTG+1 63.81% 63.60% 0.21% { QQ+, AKs, AKo }
Interestingly, you're still getting the correct price vs that range so couldn't fold here either. I hate to find myself in these kinds of spots where I'm calling off short stacks with the correct equity whilst crushed or flipping, because I have made a marginal 3-bet.