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99 bad play

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Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
SB ($11.23)
Hero ($11.59)
UTG ($3.83)
UTG+1 ($2.44)
CO ($11.56)
BTN ($8.24)

Dealt to Hero 9♦ 9♠

fold, UTG+1 calls $0.10, fold, fold, fold, Hero checks

FLOP ($0.25) 5♥ 6♠ 4♣

Hero bets $0.17, UTG+1 calls $0.17

TURN ($0.59) 5♥ 6♠ 4♣ 6♦

Hero bets $0.41, UTG+1 raises to $0.82, Hero raises to $11.32 (AI), UTG+1 calls $1.35 (AI)

RIVER ($4.93) 5♥ 6♠ 4♣ 6♦ J♠

UTG+1 shows 6♥ K♠
(Pre 30%, Flop 21.8%, Turn 95.5%)

Hero shows 9♦ 9♠
(Pre 70%, Flop 78.2%, Turn 4.5%)

UTG+1 wins $4.69

69/5

one question if i raise and he shoves can i call here? preflop


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2 replies
toteatoo
Joined: 16.11.2011

On turn there is full house draw and if opponent is raising your bet it is probable he is holding something. On flop he could be possibly slowplaying made straight (as he limped preflop in his range could be something like 23s, 67s) and on turn after your second bet could be raising for value. But here is also possible full house with limped suited connectors like 56s. So I probably wouldn't call his all in. Also he is short stacked, so he is probably having stronger hand than your overpair.


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veriz
Joined: 20.07.2008

Hello Shady9966,

Preflop: Against such a limp with my 99 I am most likely even ahead, especially vs 69% limp range:

       Equity     Win     Tie
UTG    32.48%  32.10%   0.38% { 22+, A2s+, K2s+, Q2s+, J2s+, T2s+, 93s+, 84s+, 74s+, 64s+, 53s+, A2o+, K2o+, Q3o+, J5o+, T6o+, 96o+, 86o+, 76o }
UTG+1  67.52%  67.15%   0.38% { 99 }

So I'd raise it up. :)

As played
Postflop: Don't like your Bet/Broke on the turn at all. There are so many hands which beat you, I'd really rather give up my hand. Rather play your hand aggressively preflop than on such a board where it could be very likely that he has you even beat, especially after him min-raising you.

Best Regards.


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