Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $1(BB) Replayer
SB ($230)
BB ($118)
UTG ($113)
Hero ($104)
CO ($100)
BTN ($323)
Dealt to Hero Q♣ Q♠
fold, Hero raises to $3.50, CO calls $3.50, fold, fold, fold
FLOP ($8.50) 7♠ 2♣ 4♣
Hero bets $6, CO raises to $18, Hero calls $12
TURN ($44.50) 7♠ 2♣ 4♣ 8♥
Hero checks, CO bets $34, Hero folds
CO wins $42.28
villain: 23/18/3/17 - 1k hands, 15% raise cbet flop (27)
A few orbits earlier he raised my cbet on a similiar board and folded. It might not say that much, more than he may just have had a hand, but anyway I guess it is worth mentioning.
So now he is raising me again, and I feel obligated to call. But from then on my plan is pretty vague. Not sure how I proceed vs turn- and riverbets.
What is is repping or value is sets, as semibluff I guess there are AT-AJs, KQs, maybe even T9s (all hands with FD obv).
How about his sizing on the turn? To me it looks like he either has a made hand (set) that he wants to protect to the fullest, or that he has some overs+FD that he wants to be able to call of against a c/R.
Plugged in a range of 77,22,44,AT-AJs,KQs,T9s (clubs) and against that range I am crushed (~25% equity). So after all maybe just fold the flop until I find out that he is raising flop cbets very light and often? I still had the feeling that he could raise just some random overcards, figuring I miss this board very often. But maybe not a good idea to play after a " feeling", so fold flop? ♦