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NL50 valuebet or x/c KJ on J97K9 vs whale?

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Anomic
Joined: 15.01.2012

Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

Play hand

$0.25/$0.5 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

Known players:
[tg]BB$50.00:///////;MP2$40.43:///////;MP3$78.52:///////;CO (Hero)$50.00:///////;BU$37.57:///////;SB$73.51:///////;[/tg]

Preflop: Hero is CO with J:d, K:d.
2 folds, Hero raises to $1.25, BU calls $1.25, 2 folds, BB folds.

Flop: ($3.25) 7:s, 9:d, J:c (2 players)
Hero bets $2.06, BU calls $2.06.

Turn: ($7.37) K:h (2 players)
Hero bets $4.67, BU calls $4.67.

River: ($16.71) 9:c (2 players)
Hero checks, BU checks.

Final Pot: $16.71.
Results follow:

Spoiler

Hero shows two pairs, kings and jacks(J:d K:d).
BU shows two pairs, kings and nines(8:c K:c).

Hero wins with two pairs, kings and jacks(J:d K:d).

I thought a x/c was better because I block the part of his calling range that I beat and I wanted to give him a chance to bluff the river with missed draws too. When I saw what he had I kind of regretted not valuebetting.


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4 replies
nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

The board paired, so is there a chance of missed draws betting?
Bet the river yourself.


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Anomic
Joined: 15.01.2012

Don't see how that changes anything. He can still bluff missed draws.

Bet and hope to get called by a J?


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Tomaloc
Joined: 17.01.2011

most draws have sdv (less likely to bluff), you beat Jx Kx. super ez b/f


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double2
Joined: 04.11.2008

You should only consider x/calling if you think you do not have value in a bet river. So, calculate your equity against a range you think villain continues on the river (either by calling or raising). If that number is above 50% then you have a value bet and you should do it. As Tomaloc said, villain has few naked draws, only AT and not much else.


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