Skip to forum
Notifications
Clear all

45 man bubble call.

11 Posts
6 Users
0 Reactions
1,438 Views

Poker Stars No-Limit Hold'em Tournament, 600/1200 Blinds (8 handed) - Poker Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Button (t15523)
SB (t8283)
BB (t4440)
UTG (t13596)
UTG+1 (t8336)
Hero (MP1) (t5818)
MP2 (t7244)
CO (t4260)

Hero's M: 3.23

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with K, A
1 fold, UTG+1 bets t8261, Hero calls t5743, 5 folds

Flop: (t13286) 2, 9, 3 (2 players)

Turn: (t13286) 10 (2 players)

River: (t13286) 7 (2 players)

Total pot: t13286

I was 6th of 8 in the bubble. How risk averse should I be on these 45 man bubbles??


Reply
Quote
10 replies
Targetme
Joined: 04.05.2009

The bubbles not that big more people overplay it (by being nits) then anything. When you get 8 handed in these its better to think of it as 7 payjumps then not getting anything because thats what it really is. ak is nutsbro


Reply
Quote
Asaban
Joined: 22.09.2006

I will move this hand as well.

Regars,
Asaban


Reply
Quote
kalychko
Joined: 04.10.2009

Depends on whether the player is lose or tight, if a lose one goes I will go also, hope he has AT, AJ etc., if a tight one goes and it's more dificult desicion, probably fold.


Reply
Quote
Targetme
Joined: 04.05.2009

1st= 12.6 buyins
7th= 1.5 buyins
8= nothing
pot= 9buyins of chips

I hope this explains why we can never fold ak vs a 7 bb shove.
If im villian im shoving as wide as 89o because I know people overplay the bubble and the blinds and antes are worth more then 1.5 buyins.


Reply
Quote
kalychko
Joined: 04.10.2009

Originally posted by Targetme
1st= 12.6 buyins
7th= 1.5 buyins
8= nothing
pot= 9buyins of chips

I hope this explains why we can never fold ak vs a 7 bb shove.
If im villian im shoving as wide as 89o because I know people overplay the bubble and the blinds and antes are worth more then 1.5 buyins.

Yeah, there is a big sense in what u r saying, worth much more playing for the 1st place than hardly getting into the money and burst 6th or 7th :)


Reply
Quote
Targetme
Joined: 04.05.2009

its easy to say if I fold Im garanteed to make 1.5 buyins most of the time but its hard to see what your missing out on


Reply
Quote

If hes a complete nit (pfr <10) it may be a tough call but I make it anyways. Otherwise its a snap call you really gotta keep chippin up try to disregard the bubble as much as possible. Its probably one of the biggest leaks in poker to nit up on the bubble. Don't be results oriented and you will do well.


Reply
Quote

Snap get it in!


Reply
Quote
Targetme
Joined: 04.05.2009

I mean even if your 100% sure your flipping its still +ev if your a good player because there all likely terrible


Reply
Quote

Ok, cheers for responses! perfect!
I put this in an ICM calculator and it says i should be something like 65% favorite, and of course that takes into accounts for payouts. So why ignore that? I must admit I thought what it came out with seemed very tight.


Reply
Quote