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AKs

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Avataren
Joined: 28.04.2010

Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.20 Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

Preflop: Hero is SB with K A
3 folds, Hero raises, BB calls

Flop: (4 SB) A K 9 (2 players)
Hero bets, BB calls

Turn: (3 BB) 5 (2 players)
Hero bets, BB calls

River: (5 BB) Q (2 players)
Hero checks, BB checks

Results: 5 BB pot (0.2 BB rake)
Final Board: A K 9 5 Q
Hero showed K A

BB: 42/24/10,0/581 hands

notes:
donk bet call flfop amd turn with AKo high after cap preflop.
checking trip Queens on the river after giving much action. bet/3b flop bet turn check river when checked to.

Hand is fairly straight forward till the river. i guess question is "to bet or not to bet" ?


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3 replies
Dawnfall26
Joined: 30.07.2008

Hi!

b/f my default play.Looking at your provided notes he seems to be rather straightforward and since on this board there are basically 0 busted draws he has to be turning a made hand into a bluff which I very much doubt such player is capable.Sure that may not be the case or if he overvalues hands(like raises weaker 2 pair like Q9) then I go for b/c since I dont really see that many hands he will valueraise in this case(Jhx,Thx,9hx flushes are not really hands he has often)


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@dawnfall, if this is our bet/fold range what range are we check/calling and check/folding? How many combos of bluffs does our opponent have do you think?

I don't expect this guy to value bet thin with top pair OR turn weak pairs into bluffs. Against a check he probably bets every flush but maybe some sets/2pair hands.

if we get raised im fine with folding AK since i'm guessing its one of the weaker hands we'll value bet and we can have quite a few value combos (since its BVB and we'll barrel draws and such).


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Dawnfall26
Joined: 30.07.2008

Well ,I suppose you would c/c then right or even c/f if you assume that he isnt capable of betting worse...

...but I think its very hard to make that assumption and even if you do there may be worse value hands that he goes and bets(like AQ,KQ) and anyone can decide to do something "out of ordinary" sometimes especially when such check looks quite weak and should be c/f a decent amount of time.

My river betting range obviously include all flushes which I will always b/c(or b/3b)-these are quite a few,it includes some total bluffs(not that many though since Im not cbeting turn that much with total air-like 34,67),since my bluff range is quite slim I would definatelly add some made hands here,like QT,QJ seem perfect for this one.All these bluff hands are still in very small amounts in comparison to valuehands so I think its totally fine to have a b/f range,especially since I think he has a weaker made hand that we can get a value from way more often than a flush. I think he isnt folding Ax here and maybe even not Kx so there is still quite a bit of value. There are hands that I would c/f(like KJ,KT,K8) but even these are in very small amounts as I would often check turn with them but still I guess are valid.c/c then goes to weaker Ax. But if knew the guy better I would often do some exploitable move here(like c/f Ax,or sometimes bet even AJ if he calls too much)...may not be perfect but I dont see how c/c does better...and finally if you c/f here,well that one is the most unbalanced in connection that you dont really blindly cbet this turn.Then on the river I guess you are only betting with flushes


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