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NL400 river with marginal hand

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Itsnevereasy
Joined: 08.08.2010

Opponent is tough and competent reg who plays higher stakes.

Would like to hear people's thought process, especially on the river. I considered check/folding, check/calling and bet/calling. Which one is best?

Cake Poker $400.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 2071273
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

BTN: $357.20
SB: $396.00
BB: $719.34
UTG: $178.43
Hero (MP): $773.10
CO: $404.00

Pre Flop: ($6.00) Hero is MP with Q :spade: K :heart:
1 fold, Hero raises to $12, CO calls $12, 3 folds

Flop: ($30.00) 9 :spade: Q :diamond: T :diamond: (2 players)
Hero bets $20.00, CO calls $20

Turn: ($70.00) 6 :heart: (2 players)
Hero bets $48.00, CO calls $48

River: ($166.00) 4 :diamond: (2 players)
Hero bets $110.00, CO raises to $324, Hero folds

Final Pot: $386.00
CO wins $383.00
(Rake: $3.00)


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14 replies

For me I would need a lot more info than tough reg. Since the diamond and straight draws got there i would want to know his hand ranges, his pre and post flop play and how he views my play. if tough competent reg is all you have; as played i would check fold the river


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Itsnevereasy
Joined: 08.08.2010

21/26 3bet:10 WTSD:26% over 593 hands

What else do you want to know. I think its an easy check/fold after thinking about it. Meh :(


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MatejM47
Joined: 21.01.2010

I'd c/f this as well. I don't really see what you want to get value from.


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Originally posted by Itsnevereasy
21/26 3bet:10 WTSD:26% over 593 hands

What else do you want to know. I think its an easy check/fold after thinking about it. Meh :(

Like I said in my original post " i would want to know his hand ranges, his pre and post flop play stats and how I think he views my play." As played without that info I would check fold river.

If "21/26 3bet:10 WTSD:26% over 593 hands" If that is all you have on him, as played I would check fold river.

For me to play the way you did, I would need in addition to what you gave, I would need his Flop cbet and turn calling stats, as well as his river bet%, from the cutoff and his W$SD. I would adjust my flop, turn and river bets up or down based on the stats and how I think he views my play.

If " 21/26 3bet:10 WTSD:26% over 593 hands" is all the stats you use, I would have bet bigger on the flop and check folded turn and river. Also I would have raised higher preflop with or "without 21/26 3bet:10 WTSD:26% over 593 hands".


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

definitely checking this river, and probably check/folding unless you think he turns everything into a bluff.


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getdotacom
Joined: 06.04.2008

yeah, it's clear c/f on the river imo. Also u could take some other turn and flop lines with this hand. I like c/c right away on the flop with it because it's MP vs CO. Very unlikely he will call 3 streets with worse and he definitely has AQ in his range.


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imfromsweden007
Joined: 11.10.2008

agree with previous posters, seems like a check/fold


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Shevtshenko
Joined: 06.12.2009

Originally posted by mbml
definitely checking this river, and probably check/folding unless you think he turns everything into a bluff.

I only took a glance at this but it seems like this would be a c/f even then.


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booomm
Joined: 22.03.2011

I can't understand why you bet the river ? what are you trying to accomplish ? you are basically turning your hand into a bluff, if so it is a clear fold.
x/r turn might be an option if you think he is betting with weak draws/Qx/Tx. but I def don't like barreling 2 streets and c/c or c/f river, c/c is too marginal and speculative and c/f is too weak.


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Itsnevereasy
Joined: 08.08.2010

Thanks for the feedback guys! It really does seem like an easy check/fold on the river now _cool:


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BrokesoBroke
Joined: 23.10.2007

Don't worry... It's never easy... :P


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Coach
pleno1
Joined: 19.11.2010

I kinda wanna bet/call, but ok as the majority rules, c/f is ok too.


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Kruppe
Joined: 20.02.2008

what's the worst hand he's turning into bluff and why? i think AQ would beat more bluffs. also, is he bluffing without a blocker?


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x3mwisp
Joined: 31.03.2009

Originally posted by pleno1
I kinda wanna bet/call, but ok as the majority rules, c/f is ok too.

pleno and his crazy lines and his pfr higher than vpip


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