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NL50 str8 vs fish

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Yozan
Joined: 01.01.2010

Villain 43/ 15/ 3b. 0.8/
fcbet 18/ A.f 1.8/ 329 hands.

$0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

BTN: $40 (80 bb)
SB: $50.43 (100.9 bb)
BB: $50 (100 bb)
UTG: $99.56 (199.1 bb)
MP: $50.75 (101.5 bb)
Hero (CO): $82.70 (165.4 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with T K
2 folds, Hero raises to $1.50, BTN calls $1.50, 2 folds

Flop: ($3.75) A J 2 (2 players)
Hero bets $2.37, BTN calls $2.37

Turn: ($8.49) 2 (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN checks

River: ($8.49) Q (2 players)
Hero bets $6.36, BTN raises to $27.57, Hero ???


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Hi

Any info on Fold to Turn Cbet? Since his Flop fold to Cbet is so low I think you should have a decent amount of fold equity on the Turn so you should probably consider betting again.

As played I don't see how you can ever fold here. Question is whether to 3bet or to call the river raise. Let's make the assumption that this dude slowplays half the time with big PPs.

You lose to
AA/JJ/QQ (4 out of 9 combos)
22 (1 combo)
A2s (1 combo)
Total: 6 combos?

You beat
AQ (9 combos)
hmm it's kind of close - I don't really mind shipping the river though.

thanks


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