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$35 6max, QQ

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Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em Tournament, 40/80 Blinds (3 handed) - Full Tilt Converter Tool from http://flopturnriver.com

Hero (BB) (t4,205)
Button (t3,295)
SB (t1,500)

Hero's M: 35.04

Preflop: Hero is BB with Q, Q
Button raises to t240, 1 fold, Hero raises to t550, Button calls t310

Flop: (t1,140) 9, K, 8 (2 players)
Hero bets t600, Button raises to t2,745 (All-In), Hero calls t2,145

BUT is a reg, I do not have a lot of history w him but I know from previous SD's and his stats that he is very aggro post (he has a raise cbet of 39% (18) so far). Considering this is a wet board w lots of draws he could be playing aggro, I think I have to call against this guy despite the risk aversion w have in this spot w the 10x shortie not in the pot. I also think I have sized my 3b a bit too small. Thoughts?

Stats:

28/21/43% f23bet (just 8 samples though)/ 39% rcbet


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yeah the 3b size is too small.

this is a really tough spot because of your reads and the board mixed with the ICM tax. I think it is best to just bet/fold because I expect his range to be much tighter than usual after he calls a 3b on the bubble and decides to commit the rest of his chips on this board. In a vacuum I think he will need to do this with a bunch of straight draws and J or T high draws (where you can backdoor a better flush sometimes) and I am not sure if he will flat pre with those JT/Td9d types in this spot.


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