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NL 50 difficult spot vs aggro reg

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Yozan
Joined: 01.01.2010

Villain is 23/18/7 (BUvs CO 8) / WTSD 25 WWSF 51 on 13k hands
fold vs cbet 42/54/67
BIP vs missed flop 72.Turn 70
Bet turn 50/Bet river 44

Fold BTN vs CO steal 76%
Had some aggro dinamycs w Villain in postflop game, hands before.
My plan is to stack off this kind of Equity.flop or turn doesn't matter,the plan is to make him invest as much as it can in this pot.
As played ...what to do OTR?

UTG: $31.83 (63.7 bb)
MP: $88.24 (176.5 bb)
Hero (CO): $75.68 (151.4 bb)
BTN: $51.64 (103.3 bb)
SB: $61.03 (122.1 bb)
BB: $50 (100 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with 5 6
2 folds, Hero raises to $1.50, BTN calls $1.50, 2 folds

Flop: ($3.75) 4 2 K (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $2, Hero calls $2

Turn: ($7.75) T (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $5.42, Hero raises to $15, BTN calls $9.58

River: ($37.75) K (2 players)
Hero bets $36, BTN calls $33.14 and is all-in

TY!


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Coach
w34z3l
Joined: 03.08.2009

Hey Yozan,

Betting x/c and x/r all reasonable options on the flop here.

Turn x/r is fine.

I would just jam river for value. Hopefully most hand-readers don't expect us to have FD's in our flop x/c range even though a balanced strategy says we possibly should. So he'll bluffcatch with any Kx. It's thin though, we can certainly be beat a decent amount.


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Yozan
Joined: 01.01.2010

Is to optimistic to assume Villain will fold 8h-Qh flush???


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Coach
w34z3l
Joined: 03.08.2009

Originally posted by Yozan
Is to optimistic to assume Villain will fold 8h-Qh flush???

Yeah, I seriously doubt he folds any flushes whatsoever.

Hopefully we can discount some of the flush combos from his range, especially the lower combos when he doesn't 3bet turn. Hopefully his range is slightly weighted toward Kx. However if we felt he would not call Kx on the river and also that he will just flat all flushes on the turn, then suddenly we don't have a river value bet.


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