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Thin Valuebet

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rulaZ
Joined: 19.06.2008

Hey,

I'm wondering, if this valuebet is good in the longrun. I thought that I won't get bluffraised here, because Overpairs are calling and I got the nfd myself. Villain is 30/21 WTSD 28.
It's very thin though, and I'm not sure about the right size if I wanna bet.

IPoker, $0.25/$0.50 Pot Limit Omaha Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools by CardRunners - Hand Details

Hero (CO): $82.26 (164.5 bb)
BTN: $48.50 (97 bb)
SB: $146.16 (292.3 bb)
BB: $36 (72 bb)
UTG: $68.14 (136.3 bb)
MP: $58.10 (116.2 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with A A 3 5
2 folds, Hero raises to $1.75, 2 folds, BB calls $1.25

Flop: ($3.75) 7 J 7 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $2.25, BB calls $2.25

Turn: ($8.25) 5 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $5, BB calls $5

River: ($18.25) 9 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $4, BB calls $4


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1 reply
Skodljivec
Joined: 17.12.2011

Hi,

i think it's ok, but like us said it's thin. At higher stakes people will realize your bet sizing for exactly what it is, but at plo50 you can get away with the betsize. I might even make it bigger tough, like 10, as you'll look more like a busted FD to a thinking player.

However, the lower variance play is to check behind here. I doubt it will affect your winrate in spots that are so thin.

Regards,

Skod


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