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scared shove NL10

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Pilks7
Joined: 06.09.2010

Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

BTN: $10 (100 bb)
SB: $10.30 (103 bb)
Hero (BB): $19.58 (195.8 bb)
UTG: $19.16 (191.6 bb)
MP: $11.33 (113.3 bb)
CO: $45.23 (452.3 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with K K
2 folds, CO raises to $0.30, 2 folds, Hero raises to $0.95, CO calls $0.65

Flop: ($1.95) 7 3 5 (2 players)
Hero bets $1.35, CO raises to $2.98, Hero raises to $18.63, CO folds

Results:

Spoiler

$7.91 pot ($0.36 rake)
Final Board: 7 3 5
Hero mucked K K and won $7.55 ($3.62 net)
CO mucked and lost (-$3.93 net)

Honestly, I think I may have shoved scared of being so deep against a good aggressive player!
My thinking was to bet slightly small on the flop and possibly induce a bluff, or a valueraise from an overpair. Either way, a shove is probably bad here (folds out all bluffs and also folds out most overpairs). But by the same token, his range has a lot of overcards, which mean scare cards (for him) will often hit turn and/or river, slowing the action. So maybe just a smaller 3bet to induce a shove is a better play?

Do I even benefit from folding out xcxc on the flop? I know immediate value is almost always preferable to the potential for more value later. But his implied odds (my reverse implied odds..?) for hitting a club if he has that hand are pretty big.

Correct me if any/all of that is complete nonsense...


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2 replies

Hi Pilks7

Preflop: why 3-bet so small this deep and OOP?

Postflop: If you play vs an aggro guy that likes raising/betting you are much better off raising smaller and giving him the chance to put the last money in.

Yes, draws are possible but NFD has 50% equity with you here so we can't do much about that.

We want him to make mistakes with other pairs or weaker draws which you are pushing out with the shove.


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Pilks7
Joined: 06.09.2010

Thanks, all good advice.

One thing, I thought 95c vs one 30c raise was a big bet..? It was a pot sized raise wasn't it?


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