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AKs squeeze

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teddypoker
Joined: 29.05.2007

Hi,

UTG is a reg 29/16 392hands on it
open from UTG 15
Fold vs 3bet 25%
4bet range 6,3(8)
fold to flop cbet 48%(single raise pot), for 3bet pot not enough hands

MP is a regular fish 34/26 who plays 10 tables, he is pretty loose but don't spew the money
I think a squeeze here is mandatory PF. If I'm right, what is the best play here on the flop? Cbet , x/c or x/f?
Like this i think I am exploitable but i don't know what is the right approach in this spot. I don't know on what range to put him here and because of that i just give up on the flop.

Poker Stars, $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

BTN: $132.47 (132.5 bb)
SB: $185.06 (185.1 bb)
Hero (BB): $100 (100 bb)
MP: $228.15 (228.2 bb)
CO: $113.82 (113.8 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with K A
MP raises to $3, CO calls $3, 2 folds, Hero raises to $13, MP calls $10, CO folds

Flop: ($29.50) 6 5 7 (2 players)
Hero checks, MP bets $14.08, Hero folds

Results:

Spoiler

$29.50 pot ($1.33 rake)
Final Board: 6 5 7
Hero mucked K A and lost (-$13 net)
MP mucked and won $28.17 ($15.17 net)


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Shevtshenko
Joined: 06.12.2009

Hi,

I'm a bit confused about the stats here but if i understood correctly the pfr is 29/16? Given there's no info on how this guy plays when checked to or any info on how he plays against a bet on later streets, I would just bet the flop. I'm confident that half pot flop bet is +ev, later streets depend on the runout - i'd often be tripling this.


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teddypoker
Joined: 29.05.2007

VPIP/ PFR 29/16

Ty for judge and the quick reply. Had in mind to cbet and re-evaluate on the turn but because I wasn't 100% about the line in this spot I give up.
tx one more time :)


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