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NL100 65s

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duder1n0
Joined: 07.07.2009

Poker Stars, $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players

Hero (BTN): $100 (100 bb)
SB: $106 (106 bb)
BB: $58.11 (58.1 bb)
UTG: $237.38 (237.4 bb)
MP: $146.47 (146.5 bb)
CO: $121.27 (121.3 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with 6 5
UTG folds, MP raises to $3, CO folds, Hero raises to $8, 2 folds, MP calls $5

Flop: ($17.50) A J 7 (2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $9.20, MP calls $9.20

Turn: ($35.90) 4 (2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $18.50, MP calls $18.50

River: ($72.90) K (2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $64.30 and is all-in,

MP 22/16/6.8 after 585 hands
MP open 15
foldto3bet/call3bet/4bet 66/33/0 (out of 15 cases)
foldtocbet F3b/T/R 25(1/4)/17(1/6)/0(0/1)
AFq F/T/R 33/18/24
wtsd/w$sd/wwsf 37/38/39

On the flop my plan was to barrel any /8/6/5/4 turns.
River? I guess he wont have AK in his range very often, so his calling range is AJ/JJ(/77) mostly. I wanted to make him fold AQ/ATs mainly. But I'm not sure he would fold AQ, which makes it quite a bad bluff.


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Turn brings no flush draws, which means that he rarely double calls with JX hands cos your semi bluffing combos are significantly lesser. But this board has a ton of straight draws anyway so maybe this analysis is not necessarily valid.

He seems loose/floaty or maybe it's a sample size issue, or maybe it's just because he has such strong PF ranges that he can continue much wider postflop than the average player.

Shoving River shouldn't only be aimed at folding out AX, you need to fold out some JX hands as well. If he never has JX on the River, then bluffing river seems overly optimistic. But if you get to fold out a few JX combos on top of the ATs and some AQ combos, then I think that should be fine.


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