Poker Stars, $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
BTN: $163.04 (163 bb)
SB: $109.71 (109.7 bb)
BB: $102.01 (102 bb)
UTG: $100 (100 bb)
MP: $158.46 (158.5 bb)
Hero (CO): $186.17 (186.2 bb)
Preflop: Hero is CO with K
A
UTG raises to $3, MP folds, Hero calls $3, 3 folds
Flop: ($7.50) K
8 2 (2 players)
UTG bets $4.50, Hero calls $4.50
Turn: ($16.50) 7 (2 players)
UTG bets $10.50, Hero calls $10.50
River: ($37.50) A (2 players)
UTG bets $26.50, Hero folds
UTG 26/20/8.1 after 1.9k hands
UTG open 17
cbet F/T/R 48/67/67
AFq F/T/R 32/28/27
bet river 33
wtsd/w$sd/wwsf 25/53/44
Relevant note:
- 160bb 99 on 842r-5-7 x/call F/T, big x/raise bluff R
--> capable of bluff x/raising river (turning pair into bluff)
What is his valuerange on the river? KxQ:c/Q:cJ:c/Q:cT:c, so not much.
Maybe if he vbets J high flush as well, then KxJ:c/J:cT:c/J:c9:c.
Also I think he could x/call turn sometimes with KxQ:c/KxJ:c, which would reduce his valuecombos even further.
I'm not sure folding is good here.
