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NL100 77 rivered set

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duder1n0
Joined: 07.07.2009

Poker Stars, $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players

Hero (BTN): $100 (100 bb)
SB: $165.54 (165.5 bb)
BB: $90.82 (90.8 bb)
UTG: $170.03 (170 bb)
MP: $119.90 (119.9 bb)
CO: $113.54 (113.5 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with 7 7
3 folds, Hero raises to $2, SB calls $1.50, BB folds

Flop: ($5) 2 4 K (2 players)
SB bets $2.86, Hero calls $2.86

Turn: ($10.72) T (2 players)
SB bets $6.14, Hero calls $6.14

River: ($23) 7 (2 players)
SB bets $13.17, Hero raises to $28.50, SB raises to $149.50, Hero folds

SB 20/18/6.9 after 351 hands
SB callopen 6
donkbet flop 25 (1/4)
AFq F/T/R 49/9/22

As Villain seems somewhat nitty, and been passive on turn/river so far, turn could be a fold I guess.

On the river is it OK to raise/fold for value? Sizing?


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Flop: Call is standard here

Turn: This is ridicously optimistic. I think he has a ton of A:cX and maybe some Q:cX semi bluffs but at the same time he should have some made flushes as well as the occasional set or KX with a single club. against this range, 77 is way too weak to call.

River: You got the best card in the deck, but I don't see how you can value raise here. KX one pair hands are probably not 3-barreling for value and even if he was doing that he probably wouldn't call a raise.

SB's PF range should contain most AXs combos, as well as some weaker suited broadways, and middle suited connectors/one-gappers. I think he easily has at least 15-20 combos of flushes here. He may have KT some rare % of the time (3-4 combos?), as well as 22/44 (6 combos).

It should be clear now that you don't have a value raise here if villain is only bet-calling the River with KT or better.


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