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KJo call river

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GingerKid
Joined: 05.08.2007

partypoker - $0.50 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 102.72 BB (VPIP: 70.00, PFR: 50.00, 3Bet Preflop: 66.67, Hands: 21)
SB: 146.92 BB (VPIP: 26.22, PFR: 13.11, 3Bet Preflop: 3.26, Hands: 485)
BB: 106.26 BB (VPIP: 14.10, PFR: 12.78, 3Bet Preflop: 6.74, Hands: 232)
Hero (UTG): 473.4 BB
MP: 100 BB (VPIP: 28.49, PFR: 21.51, 3Bet Preflop: 6.38, Hands: 924)
CO: 139.9 BB (VPIP: 21.37, PFR: 17.84, 3Bet Preflop: 6.87, Hands: 1,153)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has J♦ K♣

Hero raises to 3 BB, fold, fold, fold, SB calls 2.5 BB, fold

Flop: (7 BB, 2 players) J♣ 2♥ 3♦
SB checks, Hero checks

Turn: (7 BB, 2 players) 6♠
SB bets 3.32 BB, Hero calls 3.32 BB

River: (13.64 BB, 2 players) 8♥
SB bets 6.48 BB, Hero calls 6.48 BB

Spoiler

SB shows A♥ J♥ (One Pair, Jacks) (Pre 76%, Flop 88%, Turn 93%)
Hero mucks J♦ K♣ (One Pair, Jacks) (Pre 24%, Flop 12%, Turn 7%)
SB wins 25.28 BB

fold flop 60%. should I call riveR? his river bluff frequency stat is 0/6 times, which indicates he is super unlikely to be bluffing often enough. He could bet for value worse Jx, so I called, but would you call JTs?


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3 replies
jules97
Joined: 10.06.2012

given that sizing I'd never fold jx


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

never folding vs pot bet - Your read is not strong enough for me to fold such a strong hand.


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

i think there are some spots where we should try to guess our opponent's range precisely, and then decide whether we have enough equity vs pot odds to call.

Those spots are best when ranges are very narrow or when obvious draws miss

In this spot where ranges are wide, I don't think it's a good idea to look at stats and try to be super precise in guessing his range.

What we should do instead is to make small adjustments to our basic gameplan.


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