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Facing a raise on the turn

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Bazarov62
Joined: 14.11.2014

Villain appears loose/aggressive (VPIP: 27; PFR: 21) over a small sample size (53 Hands).

The required equity to call the turn here is 22.81%. On a very tight range for villain of sets (99, 66) and completed flushes (AcXc, Kc8c+, Qc8c+, JcTc, 8c7c) I only have 8% equity. I know this range is too limiting but what is a reasonable range here and is this always a fold (i.e. are we nearly always facing a set or flush)? Also if I call the turn am I committed to call the bet on the river with the brick?

I know at the micro stakes there are a lot of mistakes and players can raise and push all-in river with worse, but in general if the hand is being played reasonably I would be grateful for your advice in this spot.

Cheers folks,

Baz62

SB: $1.78 (89 bb)
BB: $2.12 (106 bb)
UTG+1: $0.51 (25.5 bb)
UTG+2: $1.53 (76.5 bb)
MP1: $0.82 (41 bb)
MP2: $2.37 (118.5 bb)
MP3: $2 (100 bb)
Hero (CO): $2.20 (110 bb)
BTN: $6.80 (340 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with K A
MP3 posts BB OOP, 4 folds, MP3 checks, Hero raises to $0.08, BTN calls $0.08, SB folds, BB calls $0.06, MP3 folds

Flop: ($0.27) 9 6 K (3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $0.18, BTN folds, BB calls $0.18

Turn: ($0.63) A (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $0.40, BB raises to $1, Hero calls $0.60

River: ($2.63) 7 (2 players)
BB bets $0.86 and is all-in, Hero calls $0.86

Results:

Spoiler

$4.35 pot ($0.27 rake)
Final Board: 9 6 K A 7
BB showed Q T and won $4.08 ($1.96 net)
Hero showed K A and lost (-$2.12 net)


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3 replies
KingKas
Joined: 30.06.2012

It's an ugly situation, but generally turnraises in MW pots are stronger than 2pair IMO.

We can give him some 2pair and check our equity, but let's see:


Board: K♣9♣6♣ A♦
       Equity     Win     Tie
MP2    32.87%  32.87%   0.00% { AhKd }
MP3    67.13%  67.13%   0.00% { 99, 66, A9s, A6s, 87s, AdJd, AcJc, QdJd, QcJc, AdTd, AcTc, KdTd, KcTc, QdTd, QcTc, JdTd, JcTc, Kd9d, Kc9c, Ad8d, Ac8c, Kd8d, Kc8c, Ad7d, Ac7c, Ad5d, Ac5c, Ad4d, Ac4c, Ad3d, Ac3c, Ad2d, Ac2c }

I even gave him and OESD with 87s, but I think it's a fold. Because versus his made hands a.k.a. sets/flushes, you kind of did not improve on the turn. So I think it's a fold.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

The famous turn raise is always value heavy. I would fold here. You can think of staying in the hand only if you hold A clubs.


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Originally posted by nitrol
The famous turn raise is always value heavy. I would fold here. You can think of staying in the hand only if you hold A clubs.

Totaly agree with this. Turn raise in this spots is 99% nuts.


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