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Set facing aggression on a tough board

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inceptioner
Joined: 23.05.2012

What are your thoughts about villains range when he takes this line? I'm guessing 66, J9, AJ, KQ, maybe QQ? Can we call turn and river?

PokerStars - $0.05 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BB: 92.2 BB (VPIP: 7.41, PFR: 7.41, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 28)
Hero (UTG): 101 BB
CO: 101.4 BB (VPIP: 18.75, PFR: 18.75, 3Bet Preflop: 20.00, Hands: 16)
BTN: 220.8 BB (VPIP: 21.43, PFR: 21.43, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 30)
SB: 105.6 BB (VPIP: 15.15, PFR: 12.12, 3Bet Preflop: 13.33, Hands: 33)

SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has T♣ T♠

Hero raises to 3 BB, fold, fold, SB calls 2.6 BB, fold

Flop: (7 BB, 2 players) K♣ 6♠ T♦

SB checks, Hero bets 5 BB, SB calls 5 BB

Turn: (17 BB, 2 players) Q♣
SB checks, Hero bets 8.4 BB, SB raises to 24.8 BB, Hero calls 16.4 BB

River: (66.6 BB, 2 players) 3♦
SB bets 33 BB, Hero calls 33 BB


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6 replies
YohanN7
Joined: 15.06.2009

Not losing 65bb in a set over set spot (or whatever it is) would be criminal. If you assign ranges by enumerating the top X%, you will find a fold always, making it impossible to win a big pot. Folding turn is awful since you have 7+10 outs versus nuts on turn and river. I gave him a range of 100% value (down to KQ), and we still have a trivial turn call and an easy river call.


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Dadramel
Joined: 10.08.2014

Notice he's not likely holding KK QQ here. He'd raised those pre most of the time, pretty always at NL5. He may hold two pairs, weaker set, sizing's also favorable


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Ales851
Joined: 16.07.2012

Turn is clear call since we have plenty of outs. Not too happy on the river but probably we should call vs this sizing


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inceptioner
Joined: 23.05.2012

Originally posted by YohanN7
Not losing 65bb in a set over set spot (or whatever it is) would be criminal. If you assign ranges by enumerating the top X%, you will find a fold always, making it impossible to win a big pot. Folding turn is awful since you have 7+10 outs versus nuts on turn and river. I gave him a range of 100% value (down to KQ), and we still have a trivial turn call and an easy river call.

Thanks! Normally I call too much on various spots but in this spot I had a really bad feeling about this. I actually wasn't that afraid of sets, I was afraid of straights. Turns out he had KQ :)


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

I am ok with calling turn and calling river. On turn we have re-draws. On river 1/2pot is fine price.


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jules97
Joined: 10.06.2012

Turn is a sigh call as played, but u shouldn't bet it


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